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Serie A
Referee: E Feliciani
Genoa
U S T S S
2–2
Full-time
Inter
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,11 xG 1,96
33% Possession 67%
10 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
1 Corners 4
0 Offside 6
15 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Mar -24 Inter – Genoa 2–1 29. Dec -23 Genoa – Inter 1–1 25. Feb -22 Genoa – Inter 0–0 21. Aug -21 Inter – Genoa 4–0 28. Feb -21 Inter – Genoa 3–0

Match report

Genoa Inter
16′
🟨 Henrikh Mkhitaryan
1–0 A. Vogliacco ⚽
20′
30′
⚽ M. Thuram 1–1
N. Barella
38′
ℹ️ Marcus Thuram
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Half-time 1–1
J. Vásquez 🔁
↦ A. Vogliacco
60′
Pierluigi Gollini 🟨
63′
66′
🔁 D. Frattesi
↦ H. Mkhitaryan
66′
🔁 D. Dumfries
↦ M. Darmian
M. Thorsby 🔁
↦ R. Malinovskyi
71′
S. Sabelli 🔁
↦ A. Zanoli
71′
75′
🔁 Carlos Augusto
↦ F. Dimarco
75′
🔁 M. Taremi
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
82′
⚽ M. Thuram 1–2
D. Frattesi
84′
ℹ️ Marcus Thuram
VAR: Goal confirmed
J. Ekhator 🔁
↦ M. Badelj
86′
86′
🔁 K. Asllani
↦ Lautaro Martínez
Stefano Sabelli ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
93′
Junior Messias ❌
penalty missed
95′
2–2 Junior Messias ⚽
95′
99′
🟨 Kristjan Asllani
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Genoa

3-5-2
95 P. Gollini G
14 A. Vogliacco D
13 M. Bani D
4 K. De Winter D
59 A. Zanoli M
17 R. Malinovskyi M
47 M. Badelj M
32 M. Frendrup M
3 Aarón Martín M
10 Junior Messias F
9 Vítinha F
Bench (13)
22 J. Vásquez
2 M. Thorsby
20 S. Sabelli
21 J. Ekhator
39 D. Sommariva
53 T. Pittino
69 H. Ahanor
40 S. Fini
74 C. Papadopoulos
1 N. Leali
8 E. Bohinen
73 P. Masini
55 F. Accornero

Coach: A. Gilardino

Inter

3-5-2
1 Y. Sommer G
31 Y. Bisseck D
15 F. Acerbi D
95 A. Bastoni D
36 M. Darmian M
23 N. Barella M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
32 F. Dimarco M
10 Lautaro Martínez F
9 M. Thuram F
Bench (11)
16 D. Frattesi
2 D. Dumfries
30 Carlos Augusto
99 M. Taremi
21 K. Asllani
28 B. Pavard
11 J. Correa
47 A. Fontanarosa
12 R. Di Gennaro
8 M. Arnautović
13 Josep Martínez

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,31
🔒
U ✓
4,18
🔒
B
1,54
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,88
🔒
U2,5
1,96
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Feliciani · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.