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Coppa Italia

Referee: D Rutella

Salernitana

T T U T U

3–3

Full-time

Spezia

U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

2,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

59% Possession 41%

11 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Pisa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Torino	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Mantova	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Avellino	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Modena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Catania	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Torres	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Avellino	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Torino	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Torres	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Mantova	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Modena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Catania	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.