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Serie B
Referee: L Massimi
Cittadella
U U S U U
1–1
Full-time
FeralpiSalo
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella FeralpiSalo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,0
4,0
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
0,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 28%
32%
24%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
41%
59%
Both score Ø 55%
53%
56%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
6 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cittadella 10. · FeralpiSalo 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 35 21 10 4 +31 73
2 Venezia 35 20 7 8 +24 67
3 Como 34 20 7 7 +17 67
4 Cremonese 35 17 9 9 +14 60
5 Catanzaro 35 16 9 10 +11 57
6 Palermo 34 14 10 10 +10 52
7 Brescia 35 11 14 10 +3 47
8 Sampdoria 34 13 8 13 -1 47
9 Pisa 35 11 12 12 -1 45
10 Cittadella 34 11 11 12 -3 44
11 Sudtirol 35 11 10 14 -2 43
12 Modena 35 9 16 10 -6 43
13 Reggiana 34 8 16 10 -8 40
14 Cosenza 34 9 12 13 +1 39
15 Ascoli 35 8 13 14 -4 37
16 Ternana 35 9 10 16 -8 37
17 Spezia 35 7 16 12 -15 37
18 Bari 34 7 15 12 -10 36
19 FeralpiSalo 34 8 7 19 -19 31
20 Lecco 35 6 8 21 -34 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cittadella FeralpiSalo
1–0 L. Carissoni
21′
Lorenzo Carissoni 🟨
23′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. La Mantia
↦ K. Butić
56′
🔁 G. Letizia
↦ A. Pilati
67′
🔁 E. Dubickas
↦ M. Compagnon
L. Pandolfi 🔁
↦ A. Tessiore
72′
G. Carriero 🔁
↦ S. Branca
80′
Giuseppe Carriero 🟨
81′
84′
🔁 A. Pietrelli
↦ M. Zennaro
C. Cassano 🔁
↦ L. Carissoni
88′
T. Maistrello 🔁
↦ F. Pittarello
89′
92′
🟨 Luca Fiordilino
94′
A. Pietrelli 1–1
G. Letizia
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cittadella

3-4-2-1
36 E. Kastrati G
4 M. Angeli D
26 N. Pavan D
6 E. Sottini D
24 L. Carissoni M
8 F. Amatucci M
23 S. Branca M
98 F. Giraudo M
16 A. Vita F
18 A. Tessiore F
11 F. Pittarello F
Bench (12)
7 L. Pandolfi
20 G. Carriero
10 C. Cassano
32 T. Maistrello
64 A. Cecchetto
77 L. Maniero
1 F. Veneran
9 A. Magrassi
21 N. Saggionetto
5 V. Mastrantonio
28 A. Rizza
29 A. Djibril

Coach: E. Gorini

FeralpiSalo

3-5-2
1 S. Pizzignacco G
19 A. Pilati D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
8 D. Balestrero D
66 F. Bergonzi M
39 C. Kourfalidis M
16 L. Fiordilino M
20 M. Zennaro M
97 M. Felici M
14 M. Compagnon F
9 K. Butić F
Bench (11)
91 A. La Mantia
94 G. Letizia
11 E. Dubickas
99 A. Pietrelli
6 L. Giudici
27 D. Hergheligiu
18 L. Liverani
61 G. Volpe
70 C. Attys
7 D. Voltan
17 D. Krastev

Coach: M. Zaffaroni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,88
U ✓
3,44
B
4,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,08
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Massimi · 76 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.