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Serie B

Referee: M Gualtieri

Sampdoria

U S T T U

1–2

Full-time

Cittadella

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Cittadella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,3

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

75%

25%

Average goals

2,5

1,3

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

12 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

22 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 13. · Cittadella 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Venezia	5	3	2	0	+5	11
3	Palermo	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Modena	4	3	1	0	+4	10
5	Catanzaro	5	3	1	1	+0	10
6	Sudtirol	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Bari	5	1	4	0	+1	7
8	Como	4	2	1	1	-1	7
9	Cremonese	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Cosenza	5	1	2	2	+1	5
11	Cittadella	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Pisa	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Reggiana	5	0	3	2	-3	3
15	Ascoli	5	1	0	4	-4	3
16	Ternana	5	0	1	4	-4	1
17	Spezia	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	FeralpiSalo	5	0	1	4	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Parma	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Modena	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Catanzaro	3	2	0	1	-1	6
5	Cosenza	3	1	1	1	+2	4
6	Sudtirol	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Como	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Cittadella	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Bari	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Cremonese	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Pisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Reggiana	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Ternana	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	FeralpiSalo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Parma	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Bari	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Sudtirol	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Catanzaro	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Sampdoria	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Modena	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Cremonese	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Venezia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Pisa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Como	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Reggiana	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Cosenza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Cittadella	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Ternana	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Ascoli	3	0	0	3	-6	0
18	FeralpiSalo	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.