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Ligue 2
Referee: G Paradis
Guingamp
U S T T S
2–2
Full-time
St Etienne
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,3
1,8
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 46%
37%
54%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
46%
34%
Both score Ø 33%
37%
29%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

52% Possession 48%
15 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 9. · St Etienne 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 36 20 10 6 +33 70
2 Angers 36 19 7 10 +13 64
3 St Etienne 35 19 6 10 +18 63
4 Rodez 36 15 11 10 +9 56
5 Paris FC 36 15 10 11 +6 55
6 Caen 36 16 6 14 +3 54
7 Laval 36 14 10 12 -5 52
8 Pau FC 36 13 12 11 +5 51
9 Guingamp 35 13 11 11 +6 50
10 Amiens 36 11 16 9 -2 49
11 Grenoble 36 12 12 12 +0 48
12 Bordeaux 36 13 9 14 -1 48
13 Bastia 36 13 8 15 -5 47
14 Ajaccio 36 12 10 14 -8 46
15 Annecy 36 12 9 15 +0 45
16 Dunkerque 36 12 8 16 -16 44
17 Troyes 36 8 14 14 -8 38
18 Quevilly Rouen 36 6 17 13 -4 35
19 Concarneau 36 9 8 19 -17 35
20 Valenciennes 36 4 12 20 -27 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp St Etienne
22′
A. Moueffek 0–1
D. Chambost
Half-time 0–2
47′
M. Cafaro 0–2
L. Phiri 🔁
↦ K. Sidibé
55′
D. Louiserre 🔁
↦ V. Lobry
55′
65′
🔁 M. Bentayg
↦ M. Cafaro
1–2 A. El Ouazzani
67′
J. Siwe 🔁
↦ B. Guillaume
75′
77′
🔁 D. Appiah
↦ Y. Maçon
83′
🟨 Irvin Cardona
A. Sagna 🔁
↦ H. Picard
83′
2–2 J. Siwe
84′
90′
🔁 L. Fomba
↦ F. Tardieu
90′
🔁 M. Rivera
↦ N. Mbuku
92′
🟨 Dylan Chambost
94′
🟨 Gautier Larsonneur
Maxime Sivis 🟨
95′
Maxime Sivis 🟨
95′
Maxime Sivis 🟥
95′
Full-time 2–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,73
U ✓
3,14
B
2,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,18
U2,5
1,65
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Paradis · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.