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Ligue 2
Referee: O Thual
St Etienne
T T S T T
1–3
Full-time
Guingamp
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,5
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
44%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
31%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
38%
38%
Average goals
1,9
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
10 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 10
2 Offside 5
21 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 7. · Guingamp 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 16 10 3 3 +8 33
2 Angers 16 9 4 3 +12 31
3 Auxerre 16 8 5 3 +15 29
4 Grenoble 16 7 7 2 +5 28
5 Pau FC 16 7 5 4 +1 26
6 Guingamp 16 6 6 4 +7 24
7 St Etienne 16 7 3 6 +1 24
8 Ajaccio 16 6 6 4 +1 24
9 Rodez 16 6 5 5 +3 23
10 Amiens 16 6 5 5 -2 23
11 Paris FC 16 6 2 8 -2 20
12 Caen 16 5 4 7 +0 19
13 Annecy 16 4 7 5 -3 19
14 Concarneau 16 5 4 7 -5 19
15 Bordeaux 16 5 4 7 -6 19
16 Bastia 16 4 5 7 -6 17
17 Troyes 16 3 7 6 -2 16
18 Dunkerque 16 3 4 9 -11 13
19 Quevilly Rouen 16 2 6 8 -5 12
20 Valenciennes 16 1 8 7 -11 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Guingamp
1–0 A. Moueffek
D. Batubinsika
21′
42′
K. Sidibé 1–1
M. Merghem
Half-time 1–2
55′
B. Guillaume 1–2
D. Gomis
Florian Tardieu 🟨
57′
K. Cissé 🔁
↦ F. Tardieu
62′
I. Sissoko 🔁
↦ M. Cafaro
62′
69′
🔁 A. Sagna
↦ H. Picard
80′
🔁 B. Roux
↦ M. Merghem
C. Fall 🔁
↦ A. Moueffek
81′
D. Chambost 🔁
↦ M. Rivera
81′
V. Lobry 🔁
↦ L. Fomba
81′
86′
🔁 J. Siwe
↦ A. El Ouazzani
86′
🔁 G. Courtet
↦ B. Guillaume
87′
G. Courtet 1–3
Karim Cisse 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-2-3-1
30 G. Larsonneur G
8 D. Appiah D
21 D. Batubinsika D
23 A. Briançon D
19 L. Pétrot D
5 F. Tardieu M
26 L. Fomba M
18 M. Cafaro M
29 A. Moueffek M
20 M. Rivera M
10 G. Charbonnier F
Bench (7)
32 K. Cissé
9 I. Sissoko
31 C. Fall
14 D. Chambost
22 V. Lobry
42 E. Green
3 M. Nadé

Coach: L. Batlles

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 E. Basilio G
27 M. Sivis D
7 D. Gomis D
24 P. Lemonnier D
25 A. Ben Mohamed D
10 M. Merghem M
4 D. Louiserre M
8 K. Sidibé M
20 H. Picard M
9 A. El Ouazzani F
21 B. Guillaume F
Bench (7)
11 A. Sagna
2 B. Roux
17 J. Siwe
18 G. Courtet
19 J. Iglesias
15 V. Manceau
30 B. Niasse

Coach: S. Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U
3,11
B ✓
3,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,24
U2,5
1,63
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Thual · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.