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Ligue 2
Referee: A Souifi
Le Havre
T T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Pau FC
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Havre Pau FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,5
2,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
10 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 2
0 Offside 4
21 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Le Havre 16. · Pau FC 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Guingamp 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Caen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Paris FC 3 1 2 0 +1 5
4 Bordeaux 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Dijon 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Valenciennes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Grenoble 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Metz 2 1 0 1 +2 3
9 Bastia 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Laval 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Niort 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Amiens 2 1 0 1 -2 3
13 St Etienne 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Nimes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Quevilly Rouen 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Le Havre 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Sochaux 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Rodez 2 0 1 1 -3 1
19 Pau FC 2 0 1 1 -4 1
20 Annecy 2 0 0 2 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Le Havre Pau FC
1–0 Y. Kechta
A. Ba
21′
33′
🟨 Jean Lambert Evan's Allan
39′
🟨 Eddy Sylvestre
Christopher Operi 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
A. Richardson 🔁
↦ Y. Kechta
59′
63′
🔁 S. D'Almeida
↦ Nguyễn Quang Hải
63′
🔁 W. Jarmouni
↦ D. Abzi
Y. Kitala 🔁
↦ A. Ba
67′
E. Mahmoud 🔁
↦ J. Thiaré
68′
Victor Lekhal 🟨
73′
74′
🔁 H. Saivet
↦ M. George
74′
🔁 David Gomis
↦ C. Boli
82′
S. Beusnard 1–1
David Gomis
P. Bâ 🔁
↦ J. Casimir
85′
86′
🟨 Sessi D'Almeida
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Le Havre

4-3-3
30 A. Desmas G
17 O. El Hajjam D
93 A. Sangante D
4 G. Lloris D
27 C. Opéri D
31 A. Ba M
22 V. Lekhal M
8 Y. Kechta M
23 J. Casimir F
14 J. Thiaré F
10 N. Alioui F
Bench (7)
24 A. Richardson
9 Y. Kitala
28 E. Mahmoud
29 P. Bâ
19 D. Moussadek
1 M. Gorgelin
3 S. Kumbedi

Coach: L. Elsner

Pau FC

4-2-3-1
1 A. Olliero G
7 E. Koffi D
4 X. Kouassi D
17 A. Batisse D
26 J. Evans D
21 S. Beusnard M
12 E. Sylvestre M
23 C. Boli M
19 Nguyễn Quang Hải M
2 D. Abzi M
9 M. George F
Bench (7)
6 S. D'Almeida
22 W. Jarmouni
20 H. Saivet
8 David Gomis
16 M. Ndiaye
5 N. Sow
25 J. Ruiz

Coach: D. Tholot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,10
U ✓
3,21
B
3,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,22
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Souifi · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.