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Ligue 2
Referee: A Kherradji
Amiens
T T T S S
3–1
Full-time
Bastia
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Bastia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,7
3,3
Scored
0,7
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 7. · Bastia 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Guingamp 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Bordeaux 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Caen 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Bastia 3 2 0 1 +4 6
5 Metz 3 2 0 1 +4 6
6 Laval 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Amiens 3 2 0 1 -1 6
8 Le Havre 4 1 2 1 +5 5
9 Dijon 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Paris FC 3 1 2 0 +1 5
11 Nimes 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Valenciennes 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Grenoble 3 1 1 1 -2 4
14 Niort 3 1 0 2 -3 3
15 Quevilly Rouen 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Pau FC 3 0 2 1 -4 2
17 St Etienne 4 0 2 2 -7 2
18 Sochaux 3 0 1 2 -2 1
19 Rodez 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 Annecy 3 0 0 3 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Bastia
1–0 A. Léautey
N. Opoku
15′
17′
M. Alfarela 1–1
F. Magri
Mattheo Xantippe 🟨
25′
41′
🟨 Frank Magri
Half-time 1–1
Mamadou Fofana 🟨
46′
2–1 Mamadou Fofana II
M. Xantippe
47′
64′
🟨 Sebastian Salles-Lamonge
66′
🔁 A. Roncaglia
↦ A. Talal
66′
🔁 K. Schur
↦ Dylan Tavares
66′
🔁 B. Santelli
↦ D. Guidi
A. Chibozo 🔁
↦ A. Badji
71′
Jérémy Gélin 🟨
75′
K. Ouattara 🔁
↦ M. Xantippe
79′
M. Lachuer 🔁
↦ J. Bénet
80′
84′
🔁 A. Robic
↦ T. Ducrocq
88′
🟨 Migouel Alfarela
M. Bariki 🔁
↦ A. Léautey
91′
O. Gene 🔁
↦ T. Arokodare
91′
3–1 M. Bariki
Mamadou Fofana II
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Amiens

3-5-2
1 R. Gurtner G
5 F. Mendy D
4 N. Opoku D
2 Mamadou Fofana I D
7 A. Léautey M
21 J. Bénet M
24 J. Gelin M
6 Mamadou Fofana II M
26 M. Xantippe M
17 A. Badji F
9 T. Arokodare F
Bench (7)
10 A. Chibozo
44 K. Ouattara
20 M. Lachuer
46 M. Bariki
25 O. Gene
23 A. Barry
16 P. Charruau

Coach: P. Hinschberger

Bastia

3-5-2
30 J. Placide G
28 J. Sainati D
25 A. Ndiaye D
6 D. Guidi D
22 K. Van Den Kerkhof M
13 T. Ducrocq M
14 A. Talal M
10 S. Salles-Lamonge M
42 Dylan Tavares M
27 M. Alfarela F
11 F. Magri F
Bench (7)
4 A. Roncaglia
8 K. Schur
9 B. Santelli
86 A. Robic
20 K. Kaïboué
23 L. Palun
1 Z. Boucher

Coach: R. Brouard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,45
U
2,96
B
3,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,52
U2,5
1,51
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Kherradji · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.