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Ligue 2
Referee: G Angoula
Metz
T U S S T
3–0
Full-time
Amiens
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
16 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 4
9 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 8
16 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Feb -20 Amiens – Metz 0–1 21. Sep -19 Metz – Amiens 1–2 12. May -18 Amiens – Metz 2–0 25. Nov -17 Metz – Amiens 0–2

Match report

Metz Amiens
1–0 L. Gueye ⚽
20′
26′
🟨 Mamadou Fofana
2–0 G. Mikautadze ⚽
44′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 I. Niane ⚽
G. Mikautadze
48′
60′
🔁 F. Bianchini
↦ I. Gomis
William Mikelbrencis 🟨
65′
70′
🔁 O. Gene
↦ M. Lachuer
W. Tchimbembé 🔁
↦ Y. Maziz
74′
76′
🔁 A. Chibozo
↦ Mamadou Fofana II
76′
🔁 M. Xantippe
↦ S. Ring
P. Yade 🔁
↦ G. Mikautadze
77′
Papa Ndiaga Yade 🟨
79′
Warren Tchimbembé 🟨
81′
Warren Tchimbembé 🟨
86′
Warren Tchimbembé 🟥
86′
J. N'Duquidi 🔁
↦ W. Mikelbrencis
92′
M. Cachbach 🔁
↦ M. Udol
92′
Vagner 🔁
↦ L. Gueye
92′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Metz

4-2-3-1
16 A. Oukidja G
25 W. Mikelbrencis D
4 B. Kouyaté D
5 Fali Candé D
3 M. Udol D
10 Y. Maziz M
27 D. Jean Jacques M
36 A. Jallow M
9 G. Mikautadze M
20 L. Gueye M
7 I. Niane F
Bench (7)
95 W. Tchimbembé
11 P. Yade
34 J. N'Duquidi
17 M. Cachbach
77 Vagner
21 A. Bassi
30 M. Caillard

Coach: L. Bölöni

Amiens

3-4-3
1 R. Gurtner G
23 A. Barry D
4 N. Opoku D
2 Mamadou Fofana I D
7 A. Léautey M
6 Mamadou Fofana II M
20 M. Lachuer M
3 S. Ring M
29 I. Gomis F
9 T. Arokodare F
21 J. Bénet F
Bench (7)
37 F. Bianchini
25 O. Gene
10 A. Chibozo
26 M. Xantippe
16 P. Charruau
43 I. Fofana
45 M. Degrumelle

Coach: P. Hinschberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,86
🔒
U
3,30
🔒
B
4,42
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,24
🔒
U2,5
1,62
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Angoula · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.