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Ligue 2
Referee: A Perreau Niel
Valenciennes
U U S S U
1–0
Full-time
Le Havre
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valenciennes Le Havre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
0,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

31% Possession 69%
6 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 8
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 9
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valenciennes 8. · Le Havre 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Metz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Laval 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Dijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Niort 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Caen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Bordeaux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Valenciennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Le Havre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Grenoble 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Sochaux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Rodez 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 St Etienne 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Nimes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Annecy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Bastia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Amiens 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Pau FC 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valenciennes Le Havre
1–0 I. Hamache
13′
N. Innocenti 🔁
↦ Q. Lecoeuche
30′
Julien Masson 🟨
33′
Half-time 1–0
F. Martin 🔁
↦ F. Ayité
46′
M. Picouleau 🔁
↦ M. Kaba
58′
68′
🔁 E. Mahmoud
↦ J. Casimir
68′
🔁 Y. Kechta
↦ A. Richardson
75′
🔁 Y. Kitala
↦ A. Ba
Y. El Amri 🔁
↦ A. Boutoutaou
84′
85′
🔁 S. Kumbedi
↦ O. El Hajjam
85′
🔁 S. Ngoura
↦ N. Alioui
Gautier Larsonneur 🟨
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Valenciennes

4-1-4-1
1 G. Larsonneur G
24 A. Linguet D
2 É. Vandenabeele D
14 J. Cuffaut D
28 Q. Lecoeuche D
21 M. Kaba M
7 F. Ayité M
17 A. Boutoutaou M
6 J. Masson M
20 I. Hamache M
11 U. Bonnet F
Bench (7)
19 N. Innocenti
10 F. Martin
27 M. Picouleau
22 Y. El Amri
15 A. Zinga
30 L. Sy
37 M. Rabuel

Coach: N. Rabuel

Le Havre

4-3-3
30 A. Desmas G
17 O. El Hajjam D
93 A. Sangante D
4 G. Lloris D
27 C. Opéri D
31 A. Ba M
22 V. Lekhal M
24 A. Richardson M
23 J. Casimir F
14 J. Thiaré F
10 N. Alioui F
Bench (7)
28 E. Mahmoud
8 Y. Kechta
9 Y. Kitala
3 S. Kumbedi
13 S. Ngoura
19 D. Moussadek
1 M. Gorgelin

Coach: L. Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,25
U
3,02
B
3,41
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,44
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Perreau Niel · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.