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DFB-Pokal
Referee: S Stegemann
Augsburg
T T S U T
0–1
Full-time
Bochum
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Bochum
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — DFB-Pokal · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
15 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 19. · Bochum 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Holstein Kiel 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Hamburg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Ein Frankfurt 2 1 1 0 +5 4
4 Hertha 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Dortmund 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Wolfsburg 2 1 0 1 +8 3
7 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +7 3
8 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +5 3
9 Karlsruhe 1 1 0 0 +5 3
10 Heidenheim 2 1 0 1 +4 3
11 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Magdeburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Paderborn 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Bochum 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Greuther Furth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 FC Koln 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Darmstadt 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Bielefeld 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Cottbus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Elversberg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
30 Braunschweig 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Stuttgart 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Illertissen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Preußen Münster 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Eintracht Norderstedt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 St Pauli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Atlas Delmenhorst 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Regensburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 VfB Lubeck 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Pirmasens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Dresden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Ulm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Hannover 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Lokomotive Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Sandhausen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 FC Schweinfurt 05 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 FC Viktoria Koln 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 BFC Dynamo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 BW Lohne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 FC 08 Homburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Sportfreunde Lotte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
58 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1 0 0 1 -4 0
59 FV Engers 07 1 0 0 1 -5 0
60 FC Gutersloh 1 0 0 1 -5 0
61 Bahlinger SC 1 0 0 1 -5 0
62 ZFC Meuselwitz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
63 RSV Eintracht 1 0 0 1 -7 0
64 Hemelingen 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Bochum
39′
G. Holtmann 0–1
F. Alfa-Ruprecht
Half-time 0–1
M. Komur 🔁
↦ F. Rieder
46′
S. Essende 🔁
↦ P. Tietz
59′
D. Giannoulis 🔁
↦ M. Wolf
60′
60′
🔁 F. Passlack
↦ F. Alfa-Ruprecht
70′
🔁 E. Masovic
↦ P. Strompf
70′
🔁 M. Kwarteng
↦ G. Holtmann
Anton Kade 🟨
72′
A. Claude-Maurice 🔁
↦ A. Kade
77′
K. Schlotterbeck 🔁
↦ C. Matsima
80′
80′
🔁 M. Obafemi
↦ L. Morgalla
80′
🔁 P. Hofmann
↦ C. Lenz
85′
🟨 Felix Passlack
93′
🟨 Kjell Wätjen
94′
🟨 Timo Horn
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Augsburg

3-4-2-1
22 N. Labrovic G
17 K. Jakic D
5 C. Matsima D
16 C. Zesiger D
30 A. Kade M
19 R. Fellhauer M
8 E. Rexhbecaj M
27 M. Wolf M
32 F. Rieder F
11 I. Gharbi F
21 P. Tietz F
Bench (9)
1 F. Dahmen
36 M. Komur
4 H. Massengo
9 S. Essende
13 D. Giannoulis
20 A. Claude-Maurice
26 E. Saad
31 K. Schlotterbeck
40 N. Banks

Coach: Sandro Wagner

Bochum

4-1-4-1
1 T. Horn G
39 L. Morgalla D
20 N. Loosli D
3 P. Strompf D
32 M. Wittek D
34 C. Lenz M
29 F. Alfa-Ruprecht M
8 K. Watjen M
24 M. Pannewig M
17 G. Holtmann M
21 F. Onyeka F
Bench (9)
22 N. Thiede
4 E. Masovic
10 M. Obafemi
11 M. Kwarteng
14 M. Clairicia
15 F. Passlack
26 R. Rosch
33 P. Hofmann
35 K. Koscierski

Coach: Uwe Rosler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.