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2. Bundesliga
Referee: Richard Hempel
Magdeburg
T T T T T
0–4
Full-time
Elversberg
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Elversberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
2,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
14%
71%
Points per game
0,4
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 13
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Magdeburg 18. · Elversberg 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Darmstadt 8 5 2 1 +8 +0.9 17
2 Paderborn 8 5 2 1 +6 +2.8 17
3 Elversberg 7 5 1 1 +6 -2.9 16
4 Hannover 7 5 1 1 +5 +2.5 16
5 Kaiserslautern 8 5 0 3 +6 -0.2 15
6 Schalke 04 7 5 0 2 +4 +0.8 15
7 Karlsruhe 8 4 3 1 +2 +0.3 15
8 Hertha 8 3 2 3 +2 -1.9 11
9 Bielefeld 7 3 1 3 +3 +1.7 10
10 Holstein Kiel 8 3 1 4 +1 +0.1 10
11 Preußen Münster 8 3 1 4 -2 -2.5 10
12 Fortuna Dusseldorf 8 3 1 4 -7 -3.5 10
13 Greuther Furth 7 3 0 4 -3 -0.2 9
14 Nurnberg 8 2 1 5 -5 +0.1 7
15 Braunschweig 8 2 1 5 -7 -1.1 7
16 Dresden 8 1 3 4 -4 +1.8 6
17 Bochum 8 1 0 7 -7 +1.8 3
18 Magdeburg 7 1 0 6 -8 -0.5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Magdeburg Elversberg
6′
🟨 Nicholas Mickelson
23′
B. Conte 0–1
N. Mickelson
45′
T. Zimmerschied 0–2
B. Conte
Half-time 0–2
47′
🟨 Lukas Petkov
Barış Atik 🟨
50′
P. Hercher 🔁
↦ L. Musonda
61′
A. Onaiwu 🔁
↦ R. Ghrieb
61′
63′
🔁 O. Stange
↦ L. Petkov
64′
🔁 F. Schmahl
↦ A. Conde
64′
🔁 C. Sickinger
↦ N. Mickelson
M. Geschwill 🔁
↦ T. Muller
72′
D. Stalmach 🔁
↦ S. Gnaka
72′
74′
O. Stange 0–3
79′
🔁 J. Malanga
↦ T. Zimmerschied
80′
J. Malanga 0–4
B. Conte
F. Michel 🔁
↦ M. Breunig
84′
89′
🔁 J. Ceka
↦ B. Conte
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Magdeburg

3-3-1-3
1 D. Reimann G
24 J. Hugonet D
16 M. Mathisen D
5 T. Muller D
19 L. Musonda M
25 S. Gnaka M
17 A. Nollenberger M
8 L. Ulrich M
29 R. Ghrieb F
9 M. Breunig F
23 B. Atik F
Bench (9)
30 N. Kruth
28 M. Geschwill
27 P. Hercher
2 S. Loric
38 L. Hyrylainen
21 F. Michel
14 A. El-Zein
6 D. Stalmach
45 A. Onaiwu

Coach: Markus Fiedler

Elversberg

4-2-3-1
20 N. Kristof G
43 F. Keidel D
31 M. Rohr D
3 F. Le Joncour D
2 N. Mickelson D
6 A. Conde M
8 L. Poreba M
25 L. Petkov M
10 B. Conte M
29 T. Zimmerschied M
22 Y. Ebnoutalib F
Bench (9)
28 T. Boss
7 M. Feil
14 J. Malanga
17 F. Schmahl
23 C. Sickinger
24 L. Schnellbacher
32 D. Pantschenko
9 O. Stange
11 J. Ceka

Coach: Vincent Wagner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,50
U
3,60
B ✓
2,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,33
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.