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2. Bundesliga
Referee: D Aytekin
Karlsruhe
U S S U U
3–0
Full-time
Paderborn
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 42%
39%
45%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
70%
61%
Both score Ø 72%
73%
70%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karlsruhe 9. · Paderborn 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 33 16 11 6 +35 59
2 FC Koln 33 17 7 9 +11 58
3 Elversberg 33 15 10 8 +26 55
4 Paderborn 33 15 10 8 +13 55
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 33 14 11 8 +7 53
6 Kaiserslautern 33 15 8 10 +5 53
7 Magdeburg 33 13 11 9 +10 50
8 Hannover 33 13 11 9 +5 50
9 Karlsruhe 33 13 10 10 -1 49
10 Nurnberg 33 13 6 14 +0 45
11 Hertha 33 12 7 14 -2 43
12 Darmstadt 33 10 9 14 -1 39
13 Schalke 04 33 10 8 15 -9 38
14 Greuther Furth 33 9 9 15 -15 36
15 Preußen Münster 33 8 11 14 -3 35
16 Braunschweig 33 8 11 14 -23 35
17 Ulm 33 6 11 16 -12 29
18 Regensburg 33 6 7 20 -46 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karlsruhe Paderborn
28′
🟨 Mattes Hansen
37′
Raphael Obermair
penalty missed
Half-time 1–0
1–0 L. Egloff
50′
2–0 L. Egloff
54′
60′
🔁 S. Castañeda
↦ M. Hansen
60′
🔁 A. Grimaldi
↦ T. Scheller
A. Ersungur 🔁
↦ L. Egloff
66′
R. Bormuth 🔁
↦ M. Beifus
66′
71′
🟨 Ilyas Ansah
71′
🔁 F. Platte
↦ M. Hoffmeier
72′
🔁 S. Klaas
↦ M. Mehlem
72′
🔁 L. Curda
↦ F. Bilbija
3–0 M. Franke
M. Wanitzek
72′
M. Wäschenbach 🔁
↦ L. Jensen
88′
L. Günther 🔁
↦ S. Jung
90′
B. Bauer 🔁
↦ B. Conté
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Karlsruhe

3-5-2
1 M. Weiß G
22 C. Kobald D
28 M. Franke D
4 M. Beifus D
2 S. Jung M
7 D. Burnić M
6 L. Jensen M
10 M. Wanitzek M
20 D. Herold M
31 B. Conté F
25 L. Egloff F
Bench (8)
27 A. Ersungur
32 R. Bormuth
21 M. Wäschenbach
29 L. Günther
26 B. Bauer
18 A. Koch
5 R. Heußer
30 R. Himmelmann

Coach: C. Eichner

Paderborn

3-4-2-1
1 M. Riemann G
33 M. Hoffmeier D
20 F. Götze D
4 C. Brackelmann D
23 R. Obermair M
25 T. Scheller M
22 M. Hansen M
32 A. Zehnter M
7 F. Bilbija F
29 I. Ansah F
6 M. Mehlem F
Bench (9)
5 S. Castañeda
39 A. Grimaldi
36 F. Platte
26 S. Klaas
17 L. Curda
19 L. Herrmann
11 S. Michel
30 M. Schubert
46 L. Engelns

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,36
U
4,33
B
1,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,40
U2,5
2,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Aytekin · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.