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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Reichel

Paderborn

T T T S T

4–1

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

72%

61%

Both score Ø 50%

44%

56%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,6

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%

20 Shots 10

12 Shots on target 7

6 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 8

6 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

5 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 5. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	18	11	6	1	+14	39
2	Hamburg	18	12	1	5	+12	37
3	Heidenheim	18	10	6	2	+15	36
4	Kaiserslautern	18	8	8	2	+8	32
5	Paderborn	18	9	2	7	+14	29
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	18	9	2	7	+7	29
7	Hannover	18	8	4	6	+5	28
8	Holstein Kiel	18	7	7	4	+3	28
9	Hansa Rostock	18	6	3	9	-8	21
10	St Pauli	18	4	8	6	-1	20
11	Greuther Furth	18	4	8	6	-5	20
12	Sandhausen	18	5	4	9	-7	19
13	Nurnberg	18	5	4	9	-10	19
14	Regensburg	18	5	4	9	-12	19
15	Karlsruhe	18	5	3	10	-5	18
16	Braunschweig	18	4	6	8	-10	18
17	Bielefeld	18	5	2	11	-6	17
18	Magdeburg	18	5	2	11	-14	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	9	7	2	0	+13	23
2	Darmstadt	10	6	4	0	+11	22
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	6	1	2	+10	19
4	Hamburg	10	6	1	3	+7	19
5	Paderborn	9	6	0	3	+15	18
6	Hannover	9	5	2	2	+4	17
7	Holstein Kiel	9	4	3	2	+5	15
8	St Pauli	8	3	5	0	+7	14
9	Greuther Furth	9	3	5	1	+1	14
10	Kaiserslautern	9	3	4	2	+0	13
11	Regensburg	9	3	4	2	-4	13
12	Bielefeld	9	4	0	5	+1	12
13	Sandhausen	8	3	2	3	+0	11
14	Braunschweig	9	3	2	4	-1	11
15	Karlsruhe	10	3	2	5	-2	11
16	Hansa Rostock	9	3	1	5	-3	10
17	Nurnberg	9	3	1	5	-4	10
18	Magdeburg	8	2	1	5	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kaiserslautern	9	5	4	0	+8	19
2	Hamburg	8	6	0	2	+5	18
3	Darmstadt	8	5	2	1	+3	17
4	Heidenheim	9	3	4	2	+2	13
5	Holstein Kiel	9	3	4	2	-2	13
6	Hannover	9	3	2	4	+1	11
7	Paderborn	9	3	2	4	-1	11
8	Hansa Rostock	9	3	2	4	-5	11
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	3	1	5	-3	10
10	Magdeburg	10	3	1	6	-7	10
11	Nurnberg	9	2	3	4	-6	9
12	Sandhausen	10	2	2	6	-7	8
13	Karlsruhe	8	2	1	5	-3	7
14	Braunschweig	9	1	4	4	-9	7
15	Greuther Furth	9	1	3	5	-6	6
16	Regensburg	9	2	0	7	-8	6
17	St Pauli	10	1	3	6	-8	6
18	Bielefeld	9	1	2	6	-7	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.