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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Exner
1–1
Full-time
Paderborn
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 50%
55%
45%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
55%
73%
Both score Ø 50%
36%
64%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
11 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 3. · Paderborn 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hannover 11 7 1 3 +8 22
2 Paderborn 11 5 5 1 +5 20
3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 6 2 3 +5 20
4 Hamburg 12 5 4 3 +9 19
5 Karlsruhe 11 5 4 2 +3 19
6 FC Koln 12 5 3 4 +4 18
7 Nurnberg 12 5 3 4 +4 18
8 Magdeburg 12 4 6 2 +3 18
9 Kaiserslautern 12 4 5 3 +2 17
10 Hertha 12 5 2 5 +0 17
11 Elversberg 11 4 4 3 +6 16
12 Darmstadt 12 4 4 4 +3 16
13 Greuther Furth 12 3 4 5 -5 13
14 Braunschweig 12 3 3 6 -10 12
15 Ulm 12 2 4 6 -3 10
16 Preußen Münster 11 2 4 5 -4 10
17 Schalke 04 11 2 3 6 -5 9
18 Regensburg 11 2 1 8 -25 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,20
U ✓
3,55
B
3,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,65
U2,5 ✓
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Exner · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.