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2. Bundesliga
Referee: P Alt
Bielefeld
S S S S T
5–1
Full-time
Fortuna Dusseldorf
U U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,40 xG 1,23
64% Possession 36%
15 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 3
3 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Apr -23 Bielefeld – Fortuna Dusseldorf 2–2 1. Oct -22 Fortuna Dusseldorf – Bielefeld 4–1

Match report

Bielefeld Fortuna Dusseldorf
Benjamin Boakye 🟨
3′
Christopher Lannert 🟨
9′
Marvin Mehlem 🟨
31′
32′
🟨 Christian Rasmussen
35′
⚽ C. Itten 0–1
C. Rasmussen
39′
🟨 Tim Christopher Oberdorf
44′
🟨 Tim Christopher Oberdorf
44′
🟥 Tim Christopher Oberdorf
1–1 N. Sarenren Bazee ⚽
M. Corboz
45′
Half-time 1–1
J. Kania 🔁
↦ B. Boakye
46′
46′
🔁 K. Schmidt
↦ E. Iyoha
46′
🔁 G. Haag
↦ S. Appelkamp
2–1 J. Kania ⚽
54′
57′
🟨 Jamil Siebert
J. Felix 🔁
↦ S. Russo
69′
72′
🔁 T. Rossmann
↦ C. Rasmussen
3–1 J. Felix ⚽
T. Handwerker
75′
4–1 J. Grodowski ⚽
78′
D. Richter 🔁
↦ N. Sarenren Bazee
82′
S. Schreck 🔁
↦ M. Mehlem
82′
82′
🔁 C. Lenz
↦ M. Heyer
83′
🔁 J. Hettwer
↦ C. Itten
I. Young 🔁
↦ J. Grodowski
86′
5–1 S. Schreck ⚽
90′
Tim Handwerker 🟨
99′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Bielefeld

4-3-3
1 J. Kersken G
24 C. Lannert D
23 L. Schneider D
19 M. Grosser D
29 T. Handwerker D
10 M. Mehlem M
21 S. Russo M
6 M. Corboz M
37 N. Sarenren Bazee F
11 J. Grodowski F
27 B. Boakye F
Bench (9)
18 L. Oppermann
3 J. Felix
2 F. Hagmann
43 D. Richter
20 F. Micheler
13 L. Kunze
8 S. Schreck
30 I. Young
7 J. Kania

Coach: Michel Kniat

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-2-3-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
25 M. Zimmermann D
15 T. Oberdorf D
20 J. Siebert D
5 M. Heyer D
8 A. El Azzouzi M
14 S. Alexandropoulos M
10 C. Rasmussen M
23 S. Appelkamp M
19 E. Iyoha M
13 C. Itten F
Bench (9)
1 M. Lotka
3 C. Lenz
4 K. Schmidt
12 V. Lunddal
6 G. Haag
9 V. Vermeij
11 J. Hettwer
21 T. Rossmann
22 D. Schmidt

Coach: Markus Anfang

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,23
🔒
U
3,58
🔒
B
2,83
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,62
🔒
U2,5
2,18
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

P Alt · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.