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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Hartmann
Nurnberg
U S S S T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,7
3,0
Scored
2,8
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
80%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
3,6
3,4
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
18 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
10 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nurnberg 11. · Greuther Furth 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 5 4 1 0 +8 13
2 Holstein Kiel 5 4 0 1 +3 12
3 Magdeburg 5 3 2 0 +5 11
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 5 3 1 1 +7 10
5 Hansa Rostock 5 3 0 2 +1 9
6 Kaiserslautern 5 3 0 2 +0 9
7 Hannover 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 Wehen 5 2 2 1 +1 8
9 St Pauli 5 1 4 0 +1 7
10 Karlsruhe 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Nurnberg 5 2 1 2 -2 7
12 Schalke 04 5 1 1 3 -2 4
13 Greuther Furth 5 1 1 3 -3 4
14 Braunschweig 5 1 1 3 -3 4
15 Elversberg 5 1 1 3 -6 4
16 Paderborn 5 1 1 3 -6 4
17 Hertha 5 1 0 4 -2 3
18 Osnabruck 5 0 1 4 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nurnberg Greuther Furth
8′
D. Michalski 0–1
J. Green
27′
🟨 Orestis Kiomourtzoglou
Jan Gyamerah 🟨
37′
Florian Hübner ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
44′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 C. Uzun
46′
J. Castrop 🔁
↦ A. Loune
46′
T. Handwerker 🔁
↦ N. Brown
46′
Jens Castrop 🟨
56′
65′
🔁 A. Sieb
↦ T. Lemperle
65′
🔁 O. Haddadi
↦ N. Gießelmann
M. Møller Dæhli 🔁
↦ T. Duman
68′
J. Hungbo 🔁
↦ B. Goller
68′
73′
🔁 D. Srbeny
↦ D. Abiama
74′
🔁 L. Petkov
↦ J. Green
78′
🟨 Dennis Srbeny
87′
🔁 M. Meyerhöfer
↦ O. Kiomourtzoglou
J. Horn 🔁
↦ Iván Márquez
89′
90′
🟨 Branimir Hrgota
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nurnberg

4-3-3
1 C. Klaus G
28 J. Gyamerah D
15 Iván Márquez D
19 F. Hübner D
27 N. Brown D
8 T. Duman M
41 A. Loune M
36 L. Schleimer M
14 B. Goller F
42 C. Uzun F
11 K. Okunuki F
Bench (9)
17 J. Castrop
29 T. Handwerker
10 M. Møller Dæhli
23 J. Hungbo
38 J. Horn
22 E. Valentini
31 J. Reichert
5 J. Geis
46 J. Kania

Coach: C. Fiél

Greuther Furth

3-4-1-2
1 A. Linde G
33 M. Dietz D
4 D. Michalski D
27 G. Itter D
2 S. Asta M
13 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
37 J. Green M
17 N. Gießelmann M
10 B. Hrgota F
11 D. Abiama F
19 T. Lemperle F
Bench (9)
30 A. Sieb
5 O. Haddadi
7 D. Srbeny
16 L. Petkov
18 M. Meyerhöfer
25 L. Schaffran
3 O. Mhamdi
14 J. Consbruch
36 P. Müller

Coach: A. Zorniger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,62
U ✓
3,53
B
2,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,75
U2,5 ✓
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.