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2. Bundesliga
Referee: S Stegemann
Nurnberg
T U T T T
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
3,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
17 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 6
0 Offside 4
20 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nurnberg 12. · Greuther Furth 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Paderborn 2 1 0 1 +4 3
3 Regensburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 St Pauli 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Sandhausen 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Darmstadt 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Greuther Furth 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Holstein Kiel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Nurnberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Bielefeld 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Hannover 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Magdeburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Karlsruhe 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nurnberg Greuther Furth
Jan Gyamerah 🟨
13′
1–0 C. Daferner
15′
Florian Hübner 🟨
28′
32′
🟨 Ragnar Ache
Half-time 1–0
E. Valentini 🔁
↦ J. Gyamerah
46′
46′
🔁 J. Dudziak
↦ D. Abiama
47′
🟨 Simon Asta
58′
🔁 T. Raschl
↦ J. Green
Christoph Daferner 🟨
62′
E. Wekesser 🔁
↦ K. Duah
70′
M. Wintzheimer 🔁
↦ C. Daferner
70′
T. Duman 🔁
↦ J. Castrop
70′
72′
🔁 A. Sieb
↦ R. Ache
S. Fofana 🔁
↦ J. Geis
77′
2–0 M. Wintzheimer
T. Duman
81′
Taylan Duman 🟨
85′
85′
🔁 O. Mhamdi
↦ S. Asta
85′
🔁 S. Raebiger
↦ T. Tillman
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Nurnberg

4-3-1-2
26 C. Mathenia G
28 J. Gyamerah D
16 C. Schindler D
19 F. Hübner D
29 T. Handwerker D
17 J. Castrop M
5 J. Geis M
15 F. Nürnberger M
10 M. Dæhli M
33 C. Daferner F
23 K. Duah F
Bench (9)
22 E. Valentini
13 E. Wekesser
18 M. Wintzheimer
8 T. Duman
3 S. Fofana
11 E. Shuranov
37 N. Jahn
1 C. Klaus
7 F. Lohkemper

Coach: R. Klauß

Greuther Furth

4-3-1-2
1 A. Linde G
2 S. Asta D
22 S. Griesbeck D
5 O. Haddadi D
27 L. Itter D
21 T. Tillman M
13 M. Christiansen M
37 J. Green M
10 B. Hrgota M
11 D. Abiama F
39 R. Ache F
Bench (9)
28 J. Dudziak
20 T. Raschl
30 A. Sieb
3 O. Mhamdi
6 S. Raebiger
31 D. Angleberger
25 L. Schaffran
15 J. Willems
19 O. Fobassam

Coach: M. Schneider

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,35
U
3,51
B
2,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.