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2. Bundesliga

Hamburg

S T T U U

4–1

Full-time

Nurnberg

U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Nurnberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 33%

44%

22%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

50%

56%

Both score Ø 61%

61%

Average goals

3,1

3,3

Scored

2,0

1,4

Conceded

1,1

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

16 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 3

5 Corners 1

5 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 3. · Nurnberg 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	19	10	7	2	+16	37
2	Stuttgart	19	10	4	5	+9	34
3	Hamburg	18	8	7	3	+17	31
4	Heidenheim	19	8	6	5	+6	30
5	Regensburg	19	8	5	6	+5	29
6	Erzgebirge Aue	19	8	5	6	+2	29
7	Greuther Furth	19	8	4	7	+4	28
8	Sandhausen	19	6	9	4	+3	27
9	Osnabruck	19	7	5	7	+4	26
10	Holstein Kiel	19	6	6	7	-1	24
11	Darmstadt	19	4	10	5	-5	22
12	St Pauli	19	5	6	8	-2	21
13	Hannover	19	5	6	8	-9	21
14	Bochum	19	4	8	7	-4	20
15	Karlsruhe	19	4	8	7	-8	20
16	Wehen	19	5	5	9	-13	20
17	Nurnberg	18	4	7	7	-8	19
18	Dresden	19	4	4	11	-16	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	10	8	0	2	+13	24
2	Erzgebirge Aue	9	7	2	0	+11	23
3	Heidenheim	10	6	2	2	+9	20
4	Hamburg	8	6	1	1	+14	19
5	Greuther Furth	9	6	1	2	+6	19
6	Osnabruck	10	5	2	3	+7	17
7	St Pauli	10	5	2	3	+6	17
8	Regensburg	9	5	2	2	+4	17
9	Sandhausen	10	4	5	1	+3	17
10	Bochum	10	3	6	1	+4	15
11	Bielefeld	9	3	5	1	+4	14
12	Dresden	10	4	2	4	-1	14
13	Darmstadt	9	2	6	1	+1	12
14	Karlsruhe	9	3	3	3	-1	12
15	Nurnberg	10	2	5	3	-7	11
16	Holstein Kiel	9	2	4	3	-2	10
17	Wehen	10	2	3	5	-12	9
18	Hannover	9	1	5	3	-6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	10	7	2	1	+12	23
2	Holstein Kiel	10	4	2	4	+1	14
3	Hannover	10	4	1	5	-3	13
4	Hamburg	10	2	6	2	+3	12
5	Regensburg	10	3	3	4	+1	12
6	Wehen	9	3	2	4	-1	11
7	Sandhausen	9	2	4	3	+0	10
8	Heidenheim	9	2	4	3	-3	10
9	Stuttgart	9	2	4	3	-4	10
10	Darmstadt	10	2	4	4	-6	10
11	Greuther Furth	10	2	3	5	-2	9
12	Osnabruck	9	2	3	4	-3	9
13	Nurnberg	8	2	2	4	-1	8
14	Karlsruhe	10	1	5	4	-7	8
15	Erzgebirge Aue	10	1	3	6	-9	6
16	Bochum	9	1	2	6	-8	5
17	St Pauli	9	0	4	5	-8	4
18	Dresden	9	0	2	7	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.