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2. Bundesliga

Nurnberg

S T T S S

2–1

Full-time

Hamburg

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 44%

46%

42%

Points per game

1,6

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

58%

50%

Both score Ø 61%

50%

71%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,4

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

10 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 4

4 Corners 9

10 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nurnberg 6. · Hamburg 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	25	14	5	6	+20	47
2	St Pauli	25	14	5	6	+15	47
3	Werder Bremen	24	13	6	5	+14	45
4	Hamburg	24	10	11	3	+20	41
5	Schalke 04	25	12	5	8	+17	41
6	Nurnberg	24	11	6	7	+2	39
7	Heidenheim	25	11	6	8	-1	39
8	Paderborn	25	9	9	7	+9	36
9	Karlsruhe	25	8	9	8	+3	33
10	Regensburg	24	9	5	10	+5	32
11	Holstein Kiel	25	8	7	10	-9	31
12	Hannover	25	8	7	10	-11	31
13	Sandhausen	25	7	8	10	-13	29
14	Hansa Rostock	25	7	7	11	-10	28
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	24	7	6	11	-4	27
16	Dresden	24	7	5	12	-9	26
17	Erzgebirge Aue	24	3	7	14	-25	16
18	Ingolstadt	24	3	6	15	-23	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	12	9	2	1	+18	29
2	Heidenheim	12	7	4	1	+8	25
3	Hamburg	13	6	6	1	+12	24
4	Schalke 04	13	7	2	4	+11	23
5	Darmstadt	12	7	2	3	+11	23
6	Karlsruhe	13	5	5	3	+6	20
7	Nurnberg	12	6	2	4	+3	20
8	Werder Bremen	11	5	4	2	+9	19
9	Regensburg	13	5	3	5	+5	18
10	Dresden	12	5	2	5	+2	17
11	Holstein Kiel	13	5	2	6	-5	17
12	Hannover	12	4	4	4	-3	16
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	3	4	5	+0	13
14	Paderborn	13	2	5	6	-3	11
15	Sandhausen	12	2	4	6	-11	10
16	Hansa Rostock	12	2	3	7	-9	9
17	Erzgebirge Aue	12	2	2	8	-13	8
18	Ingolstadt	12	1	4	7	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Werder Bremen	13	8	2	3	+5	26
2	Paderborn	12	7	4	1	+12	25
3	Darmstadt	13	7	3	3	+9	24
4	Hansa Rostock	13	5	4	4	-1	19
5	Nurnberg	12	5	4	3	-1	19
6	Sandhausen	13	5	4	4	-2	19
7	Schalke 04	12	5	3	4	+6	18
8	St Pauli	13	5	3	5	-3	18
9	Hamburg	11	4	5	2	+8	17
10	Hannover	13	4	3	6	-8	15
11	Regensburg	11	4	2	5	+0	14
12	Holstein Kiel	12	3	5	4	-4	14
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	4	2	6	-4	14
14	Heidenheim	13	4	2	7	-9	14
15	Karlsruhe	12	3	4	5	-3	13
16	Dresden	12	2	3	7	-11	9
17	Erzgebirge Aue	12	1	5	6	-12	8
18	Ingolstadt	12	2	2	8	-13	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.