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Eliteserien

Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen

Tromso

T T S S T

1–0

Full-time

Rosenborg

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Rosenborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,8

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 47%

57%

36%

Points per game

1,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

54%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

54%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,88 xG 0,46

42% Possession 58%

15 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tromso 4. · Rosenborg 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	29	21	4	4	+52	+44.2	67
2	Viking	28	20	5	3	+36	+24.4	65
3	Brann	28	16	5	7	+11	+22.8	53
4	Tromso	28	16	3	9	+11	+10.3	51
5	Fredrikstad	28	11	9	8	+9	-3.2	42
6	Sandefjord	28	13	3	12	+7	-6.9	42
7	Valerenga	28	12	4	12	+0	-9.1	40
8	Rosenborg	28	10	9	9	-2	+3.4	39
9	Molde	28	11	3	14	+1	+5.4	36
10	KFUM Oslo	29	8	11	10	+3	+11.4	35
11	Sarpsborg 08	28	9	8	11	-6	+8.1	35
12	Ham-Kam	28	9	7	12	-8	-12.4	34
13	Kristiansund	28	9	7	12	-20	-18.8	34
14	Bryne	28	7	7	14	-19	-10.7	28
15	Stromsgodset	28	6	2	20	-25	-23.6	20
16	Haugesund	28	2	3	23	-50	-45.2	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	14	11	2	1	+24	+16.5	35
2	Bodo/Glimt	14	11	1	2	+34	+28.1	34
3	Sandefjord	14	10	1	3	+17	+0.6	31
4	Brann	14	9	3	2	+10	+14.6	30
5	Tromso	14	9	1	4	+10	+8.1	28
6	Valerenga	14	8	3	3	+10	-0.3	27
7	Fredrikstad	14	7	4	3	+9	+1.9	25
8	Rosenborg	14	6	6	2	+9	+11.1	24
9	Molde	14	7	1	6	+6	+12.1	22
10	Bryne	14	6	4	4	+0	+2.5	22
11	Ham-Kam	14	6	3	5	+0	-4.6	21
12	KFUM Oslo	15	5	5	5	+4	+8.8	20
13	Kristiansund	14	5	4	5	-3	-6.2	19
14	Sarpsborg 08	14	4	4	6	-3	+3.9	16
15	Stromsgodset	14	3	1	10	-15	-7.5	10
16	Haugesund	14	1	2	11	-26	-13.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	15	10	3	2	+18	+16.1	33
2	Viking	14	9	3	2	+12	+7.9	30
3	Brann	14	7	2	5	+1	+8.2	23
4	Tromso	14	7	2	5	+1	+2.3	23
5	Sarpsborg 08	14	5	4	5	-3	+4.2	19
6	Fredrikstad	14	4	5	5	+0	-5.0	17
7	KFUM Oslo	14	3	6	5	-1	+2.6	15
8	Rosenborg	14	4	3	7	-11	-7.7	15
9	Kristiansund	14	4	3	7	-17	-12.6	15
10	Molde	14	4	2	8	-5	-6.8	14
11	Ham-Kam	14	3	4	7	-8	-7.9	13
12	Valerenga	14	4	1	9	-10	-8.8	13
13	Sandefjord	14	3	2	9	-10	-7.5	11
14	Stromsgodset	14	3	1	10	-10	-16.0	10
15	Bryne	14	1	3	10	-19	-13.2	6
16	Haugesund	14	1	1	12	-24	-31.7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.