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Eliteserien

Referee: Marius Lien

Rosenborg

U T S U S

4–1

Full-time

Tromso

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Tromso

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

33%

100%

Points per game

1,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

2,0

2,2

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 16/14 matches

Win Ø 58%

44%

71%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

31%

64%

Both score Ø 51%

38%

64%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,9

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,79 xG 0,97

48% Possession 52%

11 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Rosenborg 6. · Tromso 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	17	11	3	3	+18	+15.4	36
2	Bodo/Glimt	15	10	2	3	+24	+20.4	32
3	Tromso	14	10	1	3	+9	+5.0	31
4	Brann	16	9	3	4	+3	+13.8	30
5	Sandefjord	15	9	0	6	+11	-5.3	27
6	Rosenborg	16	7	6	3	+3	+7.0	27
7	Fredrikstad	17	7	4	6	+3	-1.6	25
8	Sarpsborg 08	15	5	7	3	+8	+11.7	22
9	KFUM Oslo	15	6	3	6	+6	+2.6	21
10	Kristiansund	17	5	4	8	-13	-12.9	19
11	Bryne	14	5	3	6	-4	-1.9	18
12	Valerenga	16	5	3	8	-5	-2.7	18
13	Molde	15	5	2	8	-1	-0.2	17
14	Ham-Kam	15	4	5	6	-8	-9.3	17
15	Stromsgodset	15	2	0	13	-17	-15.8	6
16	Haugesund	16	0	2	14	-37	-26.3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sandefjord	8	8	0	0	+20	+3.2	24
2	Viking	9	6	2	1	+12	+10.8	20
3	Brann	9	6	2	1	+6	+9.2	20
4	Fredrikstad	10	6	1	3	+7	-1.2	19
5	Bodo/Glimt	8	6	0	2	+17	+13.7	18
6	Rosenborg	8	4	4	0	+7	+8.7	16
7	Tromso	7	5	0	2	+4	+4.9	15
8	Bryne	7	4	1	2	+1	+3.8	13
9	KFUM Oslo	7	3	1	3	+4	+0.9	10
10	Sarpsborg 08	7	2	3	2	+4	+5.2	9
11	Ham-Kam	7	2	3	2	-3	-4.2	9
12	Valerenga	7	2	2	3	+0	+1.3	8
13	Kristiansund	8	2	2	4	-5	-6.4	8
14	Molde	7	2	1	4	-1	+2.5	7
15	Haugesund	8	0	2	6	-19	-7.5	2
16	Stromsgodset	7	0	0	7	-11	-6.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	8	5	1	2	+6	+4.7	16
2	Tromso	7	5	1	1	+5	+0.1	16
3	Bodo/Glimt	7	4	2	1	+7	+6.7	14
4	Sarpsborg 08	8	3	4	1	+4	+6.6	13
5	KFUM Oslo	8	3	2	3	+2	+1.8	11
6	Rosenborg	8	3	2	3	-4	-1.6	11
7	Kristiansund	9	3	2	4	-8	-6.4	11
8	Molde	8	3	1	4	+0	-2.7	10
9	Brann	7	3	1	3	-3	+4.6	10
10	Valerenga	9	3	1	5	-5	-4.1	10
11	Ham-Kam	8	2	2	4	-5	-5.0	8
12	Fredrikstad	7	1	3	3	-4	-0.5	6
13	Stromsgodset	8	2	0	6	-6	-9.6	6
14	Bryne	7	1	2	4	-5	-5.7	5
15	Sandefjord	7	1	0	6	-9	-8.6	3
16	Haugesund	8	0	0	8	-18	-18.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.