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Premiership
Referee: R Hardie
Rangers
T S S T S
2–1
Full-time
Livingston
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rangers Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 22%
36%
8%
Points per game
1,6
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
36%
75%
Both score Ø 70%
64%
75%
Average goals
2,3
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,16 xG 1,48
73% Possession 27%
9 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 1
4 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rangers 4. · Livingston 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 12 9 3 0 +19 +3.5 30
2 Celtic 11 7 2 2 +12 +4.9 23
3 Hibernian 12 4 6 2 +7 +0.8 18
4 Rangers 11 4 6 1 +5 -1.0 18
5 Falkirk 12 4 4 4 -5 +1.1 16
6 Motherwell 11 3 6 2 +3 +2.7 15
7 Dundee United 11 3 5 3 +1 -1.2 14
8 Aberdeen 11 3 2 6 -4 -1.6 11
9 St Mirren 11 2 4 5 -7 -2.2 10
10 Kilmarnock 12 2 4 6 -9 -3.7 10
11 Dundee 12 2 3 7 -13 -5.2 9
12 Livingston 12 1 5 6 -9 +1.9 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rangers Livingston
1–0 E. Fernandez
J. Tavernier
9′
18′
T. Yengi 1–1
S. May
Half-time 1–1
B. Miovski 🔁
↦ T. Aasgaard
46′
Jayden Meghoma 🟨
59′
61′
🔁 R. McGowan
↦ M. Tait
62′
🟨 Cristian Montano
N. Bajrami 🔁
↦ O. Antman
64′
65′
🔁 A. Shinnie
↦ C. Montano
71′
🟨 Samson Lawal
72′
🔁 J. Bokila
↦ T. Yengi
72′
🔁 R. Muirhead
↦ S. May
76′
🔁 J. Robinson
↦ M. Sylla
2–1 M. Diomande
B. Miovski
78′
Mohammed Diomande ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
79′
Nedim Bajrami 🟨
81′
M. Aarons 🔁
↦ J. Meghoma
84′
85′
🟨 Robbie Muirhead
C. Barron 🔁
↦ M. Diomande
90′
L. Cameron 🔁
↦ D. Gassama
90′
91′
🟨 Mahamadou Susoho
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Rangers

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butland G
2 J. Tavernier D
24 N. Djiga D
37 E. Fernandez D
30 J. Meghoma D
43 N. Raskin M
10 M. Diomande M
18 O. Antman M
11 T. Aasgaard M
23 D. Gassama M
99 Danilo Pereira F
Bench (9)
31 L. Kelly
3 M. Aarons
19 C. Nsiala
14 N. Bajrami
8 C. Barron
16 L. Cameron
52 F. Curtis
6 J. Rothwell
28 B. Miovski

Coach: Russell Martin

Livingston

3-5-2
28 J. Prior G
24 M. Sylla D
19 D. Finlayson D
27 D. Wilson D
40 S. Lawal
25 M. Tait M
8 S. Pittman M
7 M. Susoho M
26 C. Montano M
39 T. Yengi F
17 S. May F
Bench (9)
14 J. Hamilton
5 R. McGowan
20 J. Robinson
15 L. Smith
18 J. Bokila
10 G. Carey
9 R. Muirhead
22 A. Shinnie
16 A. Winter

Coach: David Paul Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,25
U
5,72
B
10,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,36
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hardie · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.