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Eliteserien
Referee: S Amland
Tromso
T T T S T
3–2
Full-time
Rosenborg
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Rosenborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 26%
14%
38%
Points per game
0,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
71%
63%
Both score Ø 40%
29%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,13 xG 1,96
50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 16. · Rosenborg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 9 7 1 1 +16 +5.8 22
2 Brann 10 6 3 1 +9 +7.9 21
3 Fredrikstad 9 6 2 1 +12 +2.4 20
4 Molde 10 5 2 3 +7 +9.4 17
5 Viking 9 4 3 2 +2 +5.1 15
6 KFUM Oslo 9 3 4 2 +0 +5.1 13
7 Stromsgodset 9 4 1 4 -3 -2.5 13
8 Ham-Kam 10 2 4 4 +3 -0.8 10
9 Kristiansund 9 2 4 3 -3 -1.1 10
10 Rosenborg 8 3 1 4 -3 -6.8 10
11 Haugesund 9 3 1 5 -5 -0.9 10
12 Lillestrom 9 3 1 5 -6 -2.9 10
13 Sarpsborg 08 9 3 1 5 -7 -3.0 10
14 Odd 10 2 3 5 -11 -12.2 9
15 Sandefjord 8 2 1 5 -3 +0.8 7
16 Tromso 7 1 0 6 -8 -6.1 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Rosenborg
1′
J. Reitan-Sunde 0–1
S. Nypan
43′
M. Broholm 0–2
Half-time 0–2
Y. Paintsil 🔁
↦ J. Robertsen
46′
L. Nordås 🔁
↦ C. Psyché
46′
46′
🔁 T. Nemčík
↦ U. Yttergård Jenssen
1–2 V. Erlien
R. Norheim
49′
2–2 V. Skjærvik
R. Norheim
51′
Anders Jenssen 🟨
65′
71′
🟨 Santeri Väänänen
76′
🔁 N. Holm
↦ S. Väänänen
3–2 J. Hjertø-Dahl
R. Norheim
77′
Lasse Selvåg Nordås 🟨
78′
F. Winther 🔁
↦ J. Hjertø-Dahl
79′
80′
🔁 M. Ceïde
↦ M. Henriksen
80′
🔁 J. Nelson
↦ J. Reitan-Sunde
80′
🔁 A. Andersson
↦ E. Reitan
87′
🟨 Ole Selnaes
91′
🟨 Jayden Nelson
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Tromso

3-5-2
1 J. Haugaard G
5 A. Jenssen D
28 C. Psyché D
4 V. Skjærvik D
3 J. Robertsen M
6 J. Hjertø-Dahl M
11 R. Jenssen M
8 K. Antonsen M
23 R. Norheim M
15 V. Erlien F
10 J. Romsaas F
Bench (8)
17 Y. Paintsil
9 L. Nordås
7 F. Winther
12 S. Thomas
25 L. Nilsen
14 M. Barry
18 M. Johnsgård
30 I. Vådebu

Coach: J. Vik

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 S. Tangvik G
2 E. Reitan D
7 M. Henriksen D
23 U. Yttergård Jenssen D
19 A. Pereira D
20 E. Tagseth M
10 O. Selnæs M
6 S. Väänänen M
45 J. Reitan-Sunde F
41 S. Nypan F
39 M. Broholm F
Bench (9)
21 T. Nemčík
18 N. Holm
38 M. Ceïde
11 J. Nelson
25 A. Andersson
8 T. Børkeeiet
22 A. Sadiku
14 E. Frederiksen
12 R. Sandberg

Coach: A. Johansson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Amland · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.