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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Malec
Legia
U T U T T
2–2
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Lechia Gdansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 14/15 matches
Win Ø 31%
29%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
43%
73%
Both score Ø 65%
57%
73%
Average goals
2,2
3,8
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
1,1
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,91 xG 2,57
54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 2
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Legia 13. · Lechia Gdansk 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Gornik Zabrze 16 9 3 4 +12 -1.6 30
2 Jagiellonia 14 8 3 3 +9 -1.3 27
3 Wisla Plock 15 7 6 2 +9 +4.4 27
4 Rakow 15 7 2 6 +0 +1.6 23
5 Radomiak Radom 15 6 4 5 +4 +1.2 22
6 Cracovia 15 6 4 5 +3 +3.4 22
7 Zaglebie 14 5 6 3 +9 -1.2 21
8 Lech Poznan 14 5 6 3 +0 +8.2 21
9 Korona Kielce 15 5 5 5 +1 -1.7 20
10 Motor Lublin 15 4 7 4 -4 +0.2 19
11 Lechia Gdansk 15 5 3 7 -7 -3.1 18
12 Arka Gdynia 16 5 3 8 -15 -6.6 18
13 Legia 14 4 5 5 +1 +2.5 17
14 Widzew Lodz 15 5 2 8 -1 +2.9 17
15 Pogon Szczecin 15 5 2 8 -6 +6.4 17
16 GKS Katowice 15 5 2 8 -6 -7.6 17
17 Nieciecza 16 4 4 8 -8 -2.4 16
18 Piast Gliwice 14 3 5 6 -1 -5.3 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Legia Lechia Gdansk
Patryk Kun 🟨
37′
42′
I. Zhelizko 0–1
T. Bobcek
Half-time 1–1
1–1 B. Kapustka
C. Goncalves
53′
58′
🔁 B. Viunnyk
↦ T. Neugebauer
70′
🔁 A. Cirkovic
↦ K. Sezonienko
W. Urbanski 🔁
↦ C. Goncalves
75′
77′
A. Cirkovic 1–2
T. Bobcek
Kacper Chodyna 🟨
82′
R. Augustyniak 🔁
↦ D. Szymanski
85′
R. Vinagre 🔁
↦ P. Kun
85′
V. Bichakhchyan 🔁
↦ K. Chodyna
85′
Ermal Krasniqi 🟨
86′
Rafał Augustyniak 🟨
88′
89′
🔁 B. Pllana
↦ T. Bobcek
2–2 W. Urbanski
B. Kapustka
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Legia

4-1-4-1
1 K. Tobiasz G
7 P. Wszolek D
91 K. Piatkowski D
3 S. Kapuadi D
23 P. Kun D
44 D. Szymanski M
11 K. Chodyna M
67 B. Kapustka M
5 C. Goncalves M
77 E. Krasniqi M
29 M. Rajovic F
Bench (11)
27 G. Kobylak
4 M. Burch
81 H. Arreiol
8 R. Augustyniak
14 A. Colak
19 R. Vinagre
21 V. Bichakhchyan
30 P. Stojanovic
53 W. Urbanski
55 A. Jedrzejczyk
99 N. Weisshaupt

Coach: Marek Papszun

Lechia Gdansk

4-2-3-1
1 S. Weirauch G
33 T. Wojtowicz D
15 M. Dyachuk D
80 M. Rodin D
27 M. Vojtko D
10 R. Kapic M
5 I. Zhelizko M
11 C. Mena M
99 T. Neugebauer M
79 K. Sezonienko M
89 T. Bobcek F
Bench (11)
44 M. Kaczorowski
3 E. Olsson
23 M. Kalahur
4 B. Pllana
8 A. Cirkovic
72 M. Awad
7 B. Viunnyk
88 B. Szczepankiewicz
21 M. Glogowski
17 A. Tsarenko
90 D. Kurminowski

Coach: John Carver

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Malec · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.