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Eliteserien

Referee: M Aslam

Rosenborg

U T S T U

1–0

Full-time

Tromso

T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Tromso

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

100%

17%

Average goals

3,8

1,0

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

2,2

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 15/17 matches

Win Ø 31%

33%

29%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

73%

59%

Both score Ø 54%

73%

35%

Average goals

3,4

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,53 xG 0,70

56% Possession 44%

25 Shots 6

9 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

8 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rosenborg 13. · Tromso 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	18	12	4	2	+25	+14.7	40
2	Brann	18	9	6	3	+6	+10.6	33
3	Viking	17	9	5	3	+10	+5.8	32
4	Molde	17	8	4	5	+12	+11.0	28
5	Fredrikstad	17	7	7	3	+8	+1.8	28
6	KFUM Oslo	17	5	8	4	+0	+4.5	23
7	Kristiansund	17	5	6	6	-2	-8.0	21
8	Sarpsborg 08	17	6	3	8	-7	-4.8	21
9	Lillestrom	16	6	2	8	-7	-3.0	20
10	Stromsgodset	17	5	4	8	-7	-1.6	19
11	Ham-Kam	17	4	6	7	+0	-2.4	18
12	Tromso	17	5	3	9	-6	-8.1	18
13	Rosenborg	15	5	3	7	-7	-2.5	18
14	Haugesund	16	5	2	9	-8	-6.0	17
15	Odd	17	4	5	8	-12	-9.5	17
16	Sandefjord	17	4	4	9	-5	-2.4	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	3	0	+14	+7.0	21
2	Viking	9	6	2	1	+7	+2.3	20
3	Brann	9	5	2	2	+4	+9.9	17
4	Kristiansund	8	4	3	1	+4	+2.7	15
5	Molde	9	4	2	3	+6	+8.9	14
6	Rosenborg	7	4	1	2	+1	+1.5	13
7	Sandefjord	8	4	0	4	+1	-0.2	12
8	Fredrikstad	8	2	5	1	+2	+2.5	11
9	Tromso	10	3	1	6	-2	-0.6	10
10	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	1	5	-7	+0.3	10
11	Stromsgodset	8	2	3	3	+0	+2.0	9
12	Haugesund	8	3	0	5	-4	-1.3	9
13	Odd	9	2	3	4	-5	-1.8	9
14	Lillestrom	8	2	2	4	-8	-3.6	8
15	Ham-Kam	8	1	3	4	-3	-2.7	6
16	KFUM Oslo	8	0	5	3	-6	+5.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	1	2	+11	+7.6	19
2	KFUM Oslo	9	5	3	1	+6	-1.0	18
3	Fredrikstad	9	5	2	2	+6	-0.7	17
4	Brann	9	4	4	1	+2	+0.7	16
5	Molde	8	4	2	2	+6	+2.0	14
6	Ham-Kam	9	3	3	3	+3	+0.3	12
7	Viking	8	3	3	2	+3	+3.5	12
8	Lillestrom	8	4	0	4	+1	+0.5	12
9	Sarpsborg 08	8	3	2	3	+0	-5.1	11
10	Stromsgodset	9	3	1	5	-7	-3.6	10
11	Haugesund	8	2	2	4	-4	-4.7	8
12	Tromso	7	2	2	3	-4	-7.5	8
13	Odd	8	2	2	4	-7	-7.7	8
14	Kristiansund	9	1	3	5	-6	-10.6	6
15	Rosenborg	8	1	2	5	-8	-4.0	5
16	Sandefjord	9	0	4	5	-6	-2.2	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.