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Super League
Referee: Anastasios Sidiropoulos
Olympiakos
S S S U S
3–0
Full-time
Atromitos
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Atromitos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 50%
82%
18%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
55%
45%
Both score Ø 60%
55%
64%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
2,3
1,1
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%
27 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · Atromitos 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 11 9 1 1 +17 28
2 PAOK 10 7 2 1 +13 23
3 AEK 10 7 1 2 +4 22
4 Levadeiakos 11 5 4 2 +14 19
5 Volos NFC 11 6 0 5 -2 18
6 Panathinaikos 10 4 4 2 +3 16
7 Panetolikos 12 4 3 5 -2 15
8 Aris Thessalonikis 10 3 4 3 -2 13
9 Aris 10 3 4 3 -2 13
10 Kifisia 11 3 3 5 -2 12
11 Atromitos 11 2 3 6 -2 9
12 Asteras Tripolis 12 1 6 5 -4 9
13 OFI Crete 10 3 0 7 -8 9
14 Larisa 10 1 4 5 -9 7
15 Panserraikos 11 1 3 7 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos Atromitos
20′
🟨 Peter Michorl
Ayoub El Kaabi ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
35′
36′
🟨 Dimitrios Tsakmakis
1–0 A. El Kaabi
37′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 D. Jubitana
↦ A. Garcia
59′
🔁 T. van Weert
↦ O. Ozegovic
R. Yaremchuk 🔁
↦ A. El Kaabi
67′
C. Mouzakitis 🔁
↦ D. Nascimento
67′
M. Taremi 🔁
↦ Chiquinho
67′
71′
🔁 M. Mountes
↦ J. Uronen
71′
🔁 G. Tzovaras
↦ P. Michorl
76′
🔁 B. Palmezano
↦ S. Moutoussamy
2–0 M. Taremi
81′
Y. Yazici 🔁
↦ G. Martins
84′
G. Strefezza 🔁
↦ D. Podence
84′
3–0 M. Taremi
R. Yaremchuk
90′
Full-time 3–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,13
U
7,02
B
16,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,36
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.