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LaLiga2
Referee: Eder Mallo Fernandez
Leganes
U S T T S
0–3
Full-time
Almeria
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 14/13 matches
Win Ø 42%
29%
54%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
36%
62%
Both score Ø 60%
50%
69%
Average goals
1,9
3,4
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,70 xG 0,61
58% Possession 42%
22 Shots 7
10 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 9
5 Corners 0
4 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 12. · Almeria 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Las Palmas 15 8 5 2 +9 +1.2 29
2 La Coruna 14 7 5 2 +14 +1.5 26
3 Santander 14 8 2 4 +8 -1.0 26
4 Burgos 14 7 4 3 +9 +2.8 25
5 Almeria 13 7 4 2 +8 +2.5 25
6 Castellon 15 6 4 5 +3 +2.4 22
7 Cadiz 14 5 6 3 -1 -2.7 21
8 Valladolid 14 5 5 4 +3 +3.9 20
9 Cordoba 14 5 5 4 +0 +0.4 20
10 Sp Gijon 14 6 2 6 -1 +0.5 20
11 Albacete 15 5 4 6 -3 -0.7 19
12 Leganes 14 4 6 4 +2 +0.6 18
13 Ceuta 13 5 3 5 -4 -2.2 18
14 Eibar 14 4 5 5 +0 -1.7 17
15 Cultural Leonesa 14 5 2 7 -3 -3.9 17
16 Andorra 15 4 5 6 -6 -1.3 17
17 Sociedad B 14 4 3 7 -2 +0.2 15
18 Malaga 14 4 3 7 -2 -1.3 15
19 Granada 14 3 6 5 -3 +0.2 15
20 Huesca 14 4 3 7 -7 +0.9 15
21 Mirandes 14 3 3 8 -9 -0.5 12
22 Zaragoza 14 2 3 9 -15 -2.1 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Almeria
11′
A. Embarba 0–1
A. Centelles
25′
🟨 Iddrisu Baba
34′
🟨 Álex Centelles
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 A. Munoz
↦ I. Baba
46′
🔁 S. Dzodic
↦ A. Centelles
50′
D. Chirino 0–2
S. Arribas
Lalo Aguilar 🟨
53′
M. de la Fuente 🔁
↦ D. Garcia
57′
G. Melero 🔁
↦ G. Aguilar Lopez
57′
R. Lopez 🔁
↦ R. Pena
60′
64′
🔁 P. Soko
↦ Thalys
67′
ℹ️ Adrián Embarba
VAR: Goal cancelled
78′
🔁 A. Puigmal
↦ S. Arribas
82′
🟨 Adrián Embarba
83′
🔁 Leo Baptistao
↦ A. Embarba
B. Pauwels 🔁
↦ N. Garcia
84′
S. Figueredo 🔁
↦ J. Saenz
84′
88′
🟨 Daijiro Chirino
90′
A. Puigmal 0–3
Leo Baptistao
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Leganes

5-3-2
1 J. Soriano G
7 R. Pena D
6 G. Aguilar Lopez D
3 J. Saenz D
2 Marvel D
17 N. Garcia D
10 J. Cruz M
24 A. Diawara M
8 S. Cisse M
19 D. Garcia F
11 Duk F
Bench (12)
13 M. San Roman
5 I. Miquel
9 M. de la Fuente
14 R. Lopez
15 E. Franquesa
16 G. Melero
18 B. Pauwels
20 O. Plano
21 A. Campos
22 S. Figueredo
23 A. Millan
38 D. Gueye

Coach: Francisco José López Fernández

Almeria

3-4-2-1
1 A. Fernandez G
4 N. Monte D
15 A. Hernandez D
18 F. Bonini D
22 D. Chirino M
8 Gui Guedes M
14 I. Baba M
20 A. Centelles M
11 S. Arribas F
23 A. Embarba F
9 Thalys F
Bench (12)
19 P. Soko
5 S. Clua
12 Leo Baptistao
3 A. Munoz
13 F. Martinez
16 M. Luna
24 L. Robertone
29 S. Dzodic
6 A. Horta
32 P. Fidel Cedillo Segura
2 A. Puigmal
36 M. Perovic

Coach: Joan Francesc Ferrer Sicilia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,85
U
3,12
B ✓
2,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Eder Mallo Fernandez · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.