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Süper Lig
Referee: Cihan Aydin
Eyüpspor
T S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Karagumruk
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eyüpspor Karagumruk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,2
3,2
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
25%
42%
Average goals
1,8
2,9
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,11 xG 1,66
55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eyüpspor 17. · Karagumruk 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 12 9 2 1 +19 +14.3 29
2 Fenerbahce 12 8 4 0 +15 +15.2 28
3 Trabzonspor 12 7 4 1 +10 +0.3 25
4 Samsunspor 12 6 5 1 +7 +7.9 23
5 Goztep 12 6 4 2 +9 +3.2 22
6 Gaziantep 13 6 4 3 +0 +1.8 22
7 Besiktas 12 6 2 4 +5 +10.7 20
8 Alanyaspor 12 3 6 3 +0 -4.9 15
9 Konyaspor 12 4 2 6 -2 -2.7 14
10 Rizespor 12 3 5 4 -2 +0.7 14
11 Kocaelispor 12 4 2 6 -4 -3.2 14
12 Buyuksehyr 12 3 4 5 +2 -0.5 13
13 Antalyaspor 12 4 1 7 -10 -8.9 13
14 Genclerbirligi 12 3 2 7 -5 -5.7 11
15 Kasimpasa 12 2 4 6 -6 -7.6 10
16 Kayserispor 13 1 6 6 -18 -8.2 9
17 Eyüpspor 12 2 2 8 -9 -5.2 8
18 Karagumruk 12 2 1 9 -11 -7.0 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eyüpspor Karagumruk
26′
🔁 R. Esgaio
↦ C. Kurukalip
Half-time 0–0
59′
🔁 T. Cukur
↦ J. Camacho
D. Dragus 🔁
↦ Lucas Calegari
65′
1–0 E. Akbaba
N. Mujakic
66′
Umut Bozok 🟨
70′
Y. Kayan 🔁
↦ E. Akbaba
76′
P. O. Ampem 🔁
↦ U. Bozok
76′
83′
🔁 D. Johnson
↦ M. Doh
83′
🔁 B. Kalayci
↦ B. Ozcan
90′
M. Kranevitter 1–1
T. Cukur
91′
🟨 Matías Kranevitter
92′
🟨 Daniel Johnson
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Eyüpspor

4-2-3-1
1 Marcos Felipe G
2 Lucas Calegari D
6 R. Yalcin D
5 E. Ortakaya D
18 N. Mujakic D
10 K. Demirbay M
33 T. Stepanenko M
11 S. Gurler M
8 E. Akbaba M
9 M. Thiam M
19 U. Bozok F
Bench (10)
24 J. Yilmaz
70 D. Dragus
7 H. Akbunar
30 Y. Kayan
17 T. Ulvan
40 P. O. Ampem
20 M. Legowski
99 S. Seslar
28 I. Taskin
14 S. Saiz

Coach: Selçuk Şahin

Karagumruk

4-2-3-1
13 I. Grbic G
6 A. R. Cankaya D
3 E. Roco D
29 J. Balkovec D
33 C. Kurukalip D
14 M. Doh M
5 M. Kranevitter M
37 J. Camacho M
8 B. Ozcan M
70 Serginho M
19 D. D. Fofana F
Bench (10)
96 K. Yandal
11 D. Johnson
20 T. Kalpakli
21 T. Cukur
24 B. Ersoy
32 M. Kadioglu
47 R. Esgaio
72 B. Kalayci
91 A. Gray
94 A. Cinar

Coach: Marcel Lička

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,84
U ✓
3,53
B
3,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,82
U2,5 ✓
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Cihan Aydin · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.