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Bundesliga
Referee: Benjamin Brand
Dortmund
S U S T U
3–3
Full-time
Stuttgart
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 65%
60%
70%
Points per game
2,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
30%
70%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,99 xG 1,55
46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dortmund 3. · Stuttgart 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 10 9 1 0 +29 +20.0 28
2 RB Leipzig 10 7 1 2 +7 +4.2 22
3 Dortmund 10 6 3 1 +9 +5.6 21
4 Stuttgart 10 7 0 3 +5 +3.8 21
5 Leverkusen 10 6 2 2 +10 +8.1 20
6 Hoffenheim 11 6 2 3 +5 +0.6 20
7 Ein Frankfurt 10 5 2 3 +4 +3.7 17
8 Werder Bremen 10 4 3 3 -3 -5.3 15
9 FC Koln 10 4 2 4 +2 -1.5 14
10 Freiburg 10 3 4 3 -1 +0.9 13
11 Union Berlin 10 3 3 4 -4 -5.4 12
12 M'gladbach 10 2 3 5 -6 -2.4 9
13 Hamburg 10 2 3 5 -7 -3.6 9
14 Wolfsburg 10 2 2 6 -6 -4.5 8
15 Augsburg 10 2 1 7 -10 -8.8 7
16 St Pauli 10 2 1 7 -11 -5.3 7
17 Mainz 11 1 3 7 -8 -2.5 6
18 Heidenheim 10 1 2 7 -15 -7.5 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,74
U ✓
4,03
B
4,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,51
U2,5
2,47
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Benjamin Brand · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.