Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Volendam
Twente
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | +24 | +12.7 | 34 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +19 | +18.4 | 28 |
| 3 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +7 | +10.2 | 24 |
| 4 |
Ajax
|
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +5 | +1.9 | 20 |
| 5 |
Groningen
|
12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +0 | +3.3 | 19 |
| 6 |
Nijmegen
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +9 | +5.4 | 18 |
| 7 |
Utrecht
|
11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | +6 | -2.0 | 18 |
| 8 |
Twente
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +2 | +9.9 | 16 |
| 9 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1 | -3.7 | 16 |
| 10 |
For Sittard
|
12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -2 | -6.2 | 16 |
| 11 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -10 | -5.5 | 16 |
| 12 |
Heerenveen
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | +8.2 | 13 |
| 13 |
Volendam
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -4 | -8.8 | 13 |
| 14 |
NAC Breda
|
13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -7 | -6.9 | 12 |
| 15 |
Zwolle
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -13 | -10.3 | 12 |
| 16 |
Excelsior
|
12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -12 | -7.6 | 10 |
| 17 |
Telstar
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -7 | -6.8 | 9 |
| 18 |
Heracles
|
12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -16 | -12.1 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
K. van Oevelen
G
N. Verschuren
D
G. Yah
M
R. van Cruijsen
A. Oehlers
M
Coach: Rick Kruys
L. Unnerstall
G
B. van Rooij
D
R. Nijstad
D
M. Rots
D
R. Zerrouki
M
T. van den Belt
M
M. Pjaca
M
D. Rots
M
S. Orjasaeter
M
Coach: John Antonius van den Brom
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Volendam
NAC Breda
Feyenoord
Volendam
Quick Boys
Volendam
Volendam
Heracles
Utrecht
Volendam
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.