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Allsvenskan

Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim

Orgryte

S T T S S

3–0

Full-time

Norrkoping

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Orgryte Norrkoping

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,19 xG 2,61

35% Possession 65%

11 Shots 22

8 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 10

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

1 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	30	23	6	1	+39	+9.0	75
2	Hammarby	30	19	5	6	+31	+19.5	62
3	GAIS	30	14	10	6	+15	+15.9	52
4	Goteborg	30	16	3	11	+8	+3.2	51
5	Djurgarden	30	13	10	7	+20	+9.7	49
6	Malmo FF	30	13	10	7	+13	+13.6	49
7	AIK	30	13	9	8	+7	+6.1	48
8	Elfsborg	30	12	4	14	-6	-3.2	40
9	Sirius	30	11	6	13	+2	+6.3	39
10	Hacken	30	9	8	13	-8	+4.4	35
11	Halmstad	30	10	5	15	-26	-12.7	35
12	Brommapojkarna	30	9	4	17	-7	-5.7	31
13	Degerfors	30	8	6	16	-19	-4.3	30
14	Norrkoping	30	8	5	17	-17	-15.1	29
15	Oster	30	6	8	16	-19	-16.3	26
16	Varnamo	30	3	7	20	-33	-30.6	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	15	12	1	2	+24	+15.6	37
2	Mjallby	15	11	4	0	+17	+7.0	37
3	GAIS	15	8	4	3	+8	+11.3	28
4	AIK	15	7	6	2	+9	+4.4	27
5	Djurgarden	15	6	7	2	+14	+10.7	25
6	Malmo FF	15	7	4	4	+7	+10.6	25
7	Elfsborg	15	7	3	5	+6	+2.8	24
8	Sirius	15	7	2	6	+10	+7.4	23
9	Goteborg	15	7	1	7	+3	+2.9	22
10	Halmstad	15	5	3	7	-13	-6.3	18
11	Hacken	15	4	4	7	-6	+6.6	16
12	Norrkoping	15	5	1	9	-8	-3.2	16
13	Oster	15	3	3	9	-8	-5.6	12
14	Brommapojkarna	15	4	0	11	-9	-3.2	12
15	Varnamo	15	2	5	8	-14	-12.8	11
16	Degerfors	15	1	5	9	-15	-1.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	15	12	2	1	+22	+2.1	38
2	Goteborg	15	9	2	4	+5	+0.3	29
3	Hammarby	15	7	4	4	+7	+3.9	25
4	GAIS	15	6	6	3	+7	+4.6	24
5	Malmo FF	15	6	6	3	+6	+3.0	24
6	Djurgarden	15	7	3	5	+6	-0.9	24
7	Degerfors	15	7	1	7	-4	-3.0	22
8	AIK	15	6	3	6	-2	+1.7	21
9	Brommapojkarna	15	5	4	6	+2	-2.5	19
10	Hacken	15	5	4	6	-2	-2.2	19
11	Halmstad	15	5	2	8	-13	-6.3	17
12	Sirius	15	4	4	7	-8	-1.2	16
13	Elfsborg	15	5	1	9	-12	-6.0	16
14	Oster	15	3	5	7	-11	-10.6	14
15	Norrkoping	15	3	4	8	-9	-11.9	13
16	Varnamo	15	1	2	12	-19	-17.8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.