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Eliteserien

Referee: S Moen

Sandefjord

T U S S T

1–0

Full-time

Lillestrom

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 35%

24%

45%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

62%

66%

Both score Ø 61%

59%

62%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,6

1,7

Conceded

1,9

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,34 xG 0,75

47% Possession 53%

15 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sandefjord 14. · Lillestrom 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	29	21	4	4	+38	+18.0	67
2	Brann	29	19	4	6	+23	+6.7	61
3	Tromso	29	19	3	7	+15	+11.3	60
4	Viking	29	18	4	7	+17	+5.6	58
5	Molde	29	15	5	9	+26	+11.8	50
6	Lillestrom	29	13	4	12	+1	+8.3	43
7	Sarpsborg 08	29	12	5	12	+5	+5.5	41
8	Stromsgodset	29	12	3	14	-1	-3.2	39
9	Rosenborg	29	10	6	13	-8	-5.2	36
10	Odd	29	9	8	12	-5	-6.7	35
11	Ham-Kam	29	10	3	16	-20	-16.5	33
12	Haugesund	29	8	6	15	-9	-4.8	30
13	Stabaek	29	7	8	14	-15	-8.5	29
14	Sandefjord	29	7	7	15	-9	-13.8	28
15	Valerenga	29	7	7	15	-11	-1.7	28
16	Aalesund	29	5	3	21	-47	-6.9	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	15	12	2	1	+20	+3.9	38
2	Bodo/Glimt	14	11	2	1	+21	+9.2	35
3	Viking	14	10	2	2	+15	+2.6	32
4	Molde	14	9	2	3	+21	+6.9	29
5	Tromso	15	9	2	4	+8	+9.0	29
6	Lillestrom	15	9	1	5	+11	+6.4	28
7	Sarpsborg 08	15	8	2	5	+11	+3.4	26
8	Rosenborg	15	7	3	5	+4	+2.8	24
9	Stromsgodset	14	7	1	6	+4	+1.6	22
10	Odd	14	6	4	4	+4	+1.5	22
11	Stabaek	15	6	3	6	+1	-4.2	21
12	Ham-Kam	15	6	3	6	-1	-8.6	21
13	Sandefjord	14	5	5	4	+8	-8.0	20
14	Haugesund	14	6	2	6	+1	-3.9	20
15	Aalesund	15	4	3	8	-14	+2.7	15
16	Valerenga	14	2	3	9	-10	+3.2	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	15	10	2	3	+17	+8.9	32
2	Tromso	14	10	1	3	+7	+2.3	31
3	Viking	15	8	2	5	+2	+3.0	26
4	Brann	14	7	2	5	+3	+2.8	23
5	Molde	15	6	3	6	+5	+4.9	21
6	Valerenga	15	5	4	6	-1	-4.8	19
7	Stromsgodset	15	5	2	8	-5	-4.8	17
8	Sarpsborg 08	14	4	3	7	-6	+2.0	15
9	Lillestrom	14	4	3	7	-10	+1.9	15
10	Odd	15	3	4	8	-9	-8.2	13
11	Rosenborg	14	3	3	8	-12	-8.0	12
12	Ham-Kam	14	4	0	10	-19	-7.9	12
13	Haugesund	15	2	4	9	-10	-0.9	10
14	Stabaek	14	1	5	8	-16	-4.3	8
15	Sandefjord	15	2	2	11	-17	-5.8	8
16	Aalesund	14	1	0	13	-33	-9.6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.