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Superligaen
Referee: S Putros
FC Copenhagen
S S U T U
1–2
Full-time
Aarhus
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 51%
63%
38%
Points per game
2,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
69%
31%
Both score Ø 60%
63%
56%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
2,1
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

3,67 xG 1,72
71% Possession 29%
24 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Copenhagen 2. · Aarhus 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Brondby 17 10 4 3 +16 +4.5 34
2 FC Copenhagen 16 10 3 3 +14 +10.9 33
3 Midtjylland 16 10 3 3 +10 +6.8 33
4 Nordsjaelland 17 7 6 4 +12 +7.4 27
5 Silkeborg 17 8 3 6 +7 +8.0 27
6 Aarhus 16 6 7 3 +3 +7.0 25
7 Lyngby 17 5 5 7 -6 -1.8 20
8 Viborg 16 5 4 7 -8 -2.7 19
9 Odense 17 4 5 8 -4 -6.0 17
10 Randers FC 17 3 7 7 -13 -2.6 16
11 Vejle 17 3 5 9 -5 -15.7 14
12 Hvidovre IF 17 1 4 12 -26 -15.9 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Copenhagen Aarhus
1′
🟨 Nicolai Poulsen
8′
N. Poulsen 0–1
F. Brandhof
N. Boilesen 🔁
↦ D. Vavro
26′
34′
F. Tingager 0–2
G. Links
44′
🟨 Eric Kahl
Half-time 0–2
O. Óskarsson 🔁
↦ R. Bardghji
46′
Nicolai Boilesen 🟨
48′
1–2 E. Achouri
58′
Christian Sørensen 🟨
59′
P. Ankersen 🔁
↦ C. Sørensen
64′
66′
🔁 J. Andersen
↦ E. Kahl
66′
🔁 M. Anderson
↦ M. Knudsen
66′
🔁 J. Serra
↦ T. Bech
73′
🔁 M. Emil Madsen
↦ N. Poulsen
73′
🔁 T. Anker
↦ G. Links
V. Claesson 🔁
↦ M. Elyounoussi
79′
80′
🟨 Frederik Brandhof
94′
🟨 Jesper Hansen
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen

4-3-3
1 K. Grabara G
19 E. Jelert D
3 D. Vavro D
2 K. Diks D
6 C. Sørensen D
10 M. Elyounoussi M
33 R. Falk M
12 L. Lerager M
40 R. Bardghji F
14 A. Cornelius F
30 E. Achouri F
Bench (9)
20 N. Boilesen
18 O. Óskarsson
22 P. Ankersen
7 V. Claesson
11 J. Larsson
47 V. Froholdt
39 O. Højlund
44 E. Højlund
21 T. Sander

Coach: J. Neestrup

Aarhus

5-3-2
1 J. Hansen G
11 G. Links D
14 T. Mølgaard D
5 F. Tingager D
2 F. Beijmo D
19 E. Kahl D
29 F. Brandhof M
6 N. Poulsen M
15 M. Knudsen M
31 T. Bech F
9 P. Mortensen F
Bench (9)
26 J. Andersen
8 M. Anderson
13 J. Serra
7 M. Emil Madsen
4 T. Anker
30 M. Sauer
27 M. Akoto
16 J. Beck
45 B. Peacock-Farrell

Coach: U. Rösler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Putros · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.