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Eliteserien
Referee: O Nielsen
Stromsgodset
S S S T S
3–0
Full-time
Brann
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 54%
41%
66%
Points per game
1,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
34%
59%
Both score Ø 52%
45%
59%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,9
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,58 xG 0,83
39% Possession 61%
13 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 8. · Brann 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 29 21 4 4 +38 +18.0 67
2 Brann 29 19 4 6 +23 +6.7 61
3 Tromso 29 19 3 7 +15 +11.3 60
4 Viking 29 18 4 7 +17 +5.6 58
5 Molde 29 15 5 9 +26 +11.8 50
6 Lillestrom 29 13 4 12 +1 +8.3 43
7 Sarpsborg 08 29 12 5 12 +5 +5.5 41
8 Stromsgodset 29 12 3 14 -1 -3.2 39
9 Rosenborg 29 10 6 13 -8 -5.2 36
10 Odd 29 9 8 12 -5 -6.7 35
11 Ham-Kam 29 10 3 16 -20 -16.5 33
12 Haugesund 29 8 6 15 -9 -4.8 30
13 Stabaek 29 7 8 14 -15 -8.5 29
14 Sandefjord 29 7 7 15 -9 -13.8 28
15 Valerenga 29 7 7 15 -11 -1.7 28
16 Aalesund 29 5 3 21 -47 -6.9 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Brann
0–1 J. Sery Larsen
own goal
23′
Kreshnik Krasniqi 🟨
28′
Half-time 0–1
Ari Leifsson 🟨
61′
1–1 H. Stengel
65′
67′
🔁 A. Heggebø
↦ B. Finne
67′
🔁 S. Kartum
↦ U. Mathisen
67′
🔁 N. Jensen Wassberg
↦ N. Castro
H. Stenevik 🔁
↦ J. Therkelsen
76′
T. Grøgaard 🔁
↦ L. Tómasson
76′
E. Andersen 🔁
↦ K. Krasniqi
76′
82′
🟨 Matias Dyngeland
2–1 H. Stengel
83′
O. Enersen 🔁
↦ M. Mehnert
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

3-5-2
1 V. Myhra G
2 A. Leifsson D
71 G. Valsvik D
27 F. Dahl D
26 L. Vilsvik M
10 H. Stengel M
8 K. Krasniqi M
22 J. Therkelsen M
17 L. Tómasson M
77 M. Mehnert F
9 E. Melkersen F
Bench (6)
7 H. Stenevik
4 T. Grøgaard
23 E. Andersen
14 O. Enersen
20 E. Danso
40 M. Sætra

Coach: J. Isnes

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
23 T. Pedersen D
3 F. Knudsen D
6 J. Sery Larsen D
17 J. Soltvedt D
8 F. Myhre M
19 S. Heltne Nilsen M
10 F. Børsting M
14 U. Mathisen F
11 B. Finne F
9 N. Castro F
Bench (8)
20 A. Heggebø
18 S. Kartum
25 N. Jensen Wassberg
12 E. Holmen Johansen
35 J. Torsvik
40 E. Helland
16 O. Didrik Blomberg
21 R. Kristiansen

Coach: E. Horneland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.