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LaLiga2
Referee: Iosu Galech
Amorebieta
T T U S T
0–1
Full-time
Burgos
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amorebieta Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 27%
18%
35%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
35%
53%
Both score Ø 44%
35%
53%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 6
2 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amorebieta 20. · Burgos 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 18 11 3 4 +18 36
2 Sp Gijon 18 9 5 4 +11 32
3 Valladolid 18 10 2 6 +3 32
4 Espanol 18 9 4 5 +10 31
5 Ferrol 18 8 7 3 +4 31
6 Eibar 17 9 3 5 +9 30
7 Elche 18 8 5 5 +1 29
8 Santander 18 8 4 6 +5 28
9 Tenerife 18 8 3 7 +2 27
10 Levante 18 7 6 5 +0 27
11 Oviedo 18 6 7 5 +6 25
12 Zaragoza 18 7 4 7 +0 25
13 Mirandes 18 6 5 7 -1 23
14 Eldense 18 6 5 7 -5 23
15 Burgos 17 6 4 7 -2 22
16 Albacete 18 5 6 7 -6 21
17 Andorra 18 6 3 9 -6 21
18 Villarreal B 17 4 5 8 -7 17
19 Huesca 18 3 7 8 -5 16
20 Amorebieta 17 3 5 9 -10 14
21 Alcorcon 18 3 5 10 -15 14
22 Cartagena 18 2 6 10 -12 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amorebieta Burgos
44′
Félix Garreta 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
L. Quintero 🔁
↦ Jon Morcillo
46′
Eneko Jauregi 🔁
↦ Javier Avilés
60′
Àlex Carbonell 🔁
↦ Erik Morán
60′
62′
🔁 Miguel Atienza
↦ Miki Muñoz
72′
🔁 Edu Espiau
↦ Fer Niño
73′
🔁 Ander Martín
↦ Dani Ojeda
Félix Garreta 🟨
77′
M. Da Graca 🔁
↦ Félix Garreta
80′
Rayco Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Josué Dorrio
80′
85′
🔁 Álex Bermejo
↦ Álex Sancris
85′
🔁 K. Appin
↦ José Matos
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Amorebieta

5-4-1
30 Pablo Cuñat G
15 Álvaro Núñez D
4 Manu Hernando D
24 Josep Gayá D
28 Félix Garreta D
16 Daniel Lasure D
7 Josué Dorrio M
8 Erik Morán M
20 K. Sibo M
22 Jon Morcillo M
19 Javier Avilés F
Bench (11)
27 L. Quintero
9 Eneko Jauregi
21 Àlex Carbonell
29 M. Da Graca
17 Rayco Rodríguez
14 Eraso
3 Xabier Etxeita
2 Jorge Mier
10 R. Edwards
11 Iker Seguín
13 Jon Mikel

Coach: Haritz Mújika

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 José Antonio Caro G
2 Borja González D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
20 Grego Sierra D
23 José Matos D
22 Miki Muñoz M
14 Unai Elgezabal M
11 Álex Sancris M
16 Curro Sánchez M
7 Dani Ojeda M
9 Fer Niño F
Bench (9)
5 Miguel Atienza
19 Edu Espiau
8 Ander Martín
10 Álex Bermejo
12 K. Appin
17 Andy Rodríguez
27 Javi López
1 L. Badiashile
6 Raúl Navarro

Coach: Bolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,71
U
2,97
B ✓
2,76
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,51
U2,5 ✓
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Iosu Galech · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.