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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
ST Johnstone
T S U S T
1–3
Full-time
Celtic
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 13/14 matches
Win Ø 47%
15%
79%
Points per game
0,8
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
31%
71%
Both score Ø 41%
31%
50%
Average goals
2,1
3,1
Scored
0,6
2,5
Conceded
1,5
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%
5 Shots 25
3 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 12
1 Offside 8
8 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 11. · Celtic 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 14 11 3 0 +27 36
2 Rangers 13 9 1 3 +20 28
3 Hearts 14 7 2 5 +2 23
4 St Mirren 14 6 4 4 +0 22
5 Hibernian 14 4 6 4 -1 18
6 Dundee 14 4 6 4 -2 18
7 Kilmarnock 15 4 5 6 -1 17
8 Motherwell 15 3 5 7 -6 14
9 Ross County 14 3 5 6 -9 14
10 Aberdeen 12 3 4 5 -6 13
11 ST Johnstone 13 2 5 6 -11 11
12 Livingston 14 2 4 8 -13 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Aug -23 Celtic – ST Johnstone 0–0 5. Feb -23 ST Johnstone – Celtic 1–4 24. Dec -22 Celtic – ST Johnstone 4–1 8. Oct -22 ST Johnstone – Celtic 1–2 9. Apr -22 Celtic – ST Johnstone 7–0

Match report

ST Johnstone Celtic
Ryan McGowan 🟨
13′
1–0 D. Jaiyesimi ⚽
40′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Johnston
↦ Yang Hyun-Jun
58′
🔁 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
↦ D. Turnbull
67′
⚽ C. McGregor 1–1
C. Kane 🔁
↦ D. Jaiyesimi
73′
J. Turner-Cooke 🔁
↦ M. Kucheriavyi
73′
Dimitar Mitov 🟨
79′
79′
🟨 Kyogo Furuhashi
79′
⚽ M. O'Riley 1–2
K. Furuhashi
80′
🔁 J. Forrest
↦ L. Palma
85′
🔁 T. Iwata
↦ K. Furuhashi
S. May 🔁
↦ D. Costelloe
87′
93′
⚽ J. Forrest 1–3
T. Iwata
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

4-4-1-1
1 D. Mitov G
2 J. Brown D
5 R. McGowan D
6 L. Gordon D
19 L. Robinson D
15 M. Kucheriavyi M
34 D. Phillips M
11 G. Carey M
44 D. Costelloe M
22 M. Smith F
13 D. Jaiyesimi F
Bench (9)
9 C. Kane
27 J. Turner-Cooke
7 S. May
46 F. Franczak
16 L. Jephcott
31 D. Richards
25 C. Ballantyne
23 S. Sprangler
17 O. Olufunwa

Coach: C. Levein

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
14 D. Turnbull M
13 Yang Hyun-Jun F
8 K. Furuhashi F
7 L. Palma F
Bench (9)
90 M. Johnston
19 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
49 J. Forrest
24 T. Iwata
6 N. Phillips
56 A. Ralston
28 Paulo Bernardo
29 S. Bain
15 O. Holm

Coach: B. Rodgers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
11,95
🔒
U
6,59
🔒
B ✓
1,21
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,49
🔒
U2,5
2,56
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.