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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Sandefjord
S S T U S
1–1
Full-time
Lillestrom
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 50%
46%
54%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
62%
54%
Both score Ø 58%
46%
69%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
12 Shots 21
2 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 9
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sandefjord 9. · Lillestrom 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 14 9 3 2 +21 30
2 Bodo/Glimt 14 7 4 3 +14 25
3 Lillestrom 13 7 3 3 +4 24
4 Kristiansund 13 7 2 4 +1 23
5 Rosenborg 14 6 4 4 +7 22
6 Haugesund 13 6 4 3 +6 22
7 Valerenga 14 5 6 3 +5 21
8 Stromsgodset 14 5 4 5 -2 19
9 Sandefjord 13 6 1 6 -3 19
10 Odd 14 5 4 5 -4 19
11 Viking 13 5 3 5 -3 18
12 Sarpsborg 08 14 3 5 6 -8 14
13 Mjondalen 13 2 6 5 +0 12
14 Tromso 13 2 4 7 -12 10
15 Stabaek 13 2 3 8 -12 9
16 Brann 14 1 4 9 -14 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandefjord Lillestrom
William Kurtović 🟨
9′
11′
🟨 Lars Ranger
Half-time 0–0
Zé Eduardo 🔁
↦ H. Singh
46′
1–0 V. Jónsson
50′
59′
T. Olsen 1–1
G. Åsen
71′
🔁 D. Gustafsson
↦ T. Svendsen
71′
🔁 E. Edh
↦ L. Ranger
F. Nyenetue 🔁
↦ S. Mørk
77′
E. Brenden 🔁
↦ K. Hansen
77′
M. Njie 🔁
↦ A. Tveter
83′
S. Gussiås 🔁
↦ V. Jónsson
83′
89′
🔁 M. Knudsen
↦ I. Mathew
95′
🔁 P. Slørdahl
↦ E. Garnås
96′
🟨 Eskil Smidesang Edh
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sandefjord

4-3-3
1 J. Storevik G
23 V. Jónsson F
12 M. Haakenstad D
5 M. Kreuzriegler D
2 B. Wembangomo D
17 S. Foss D
24 H. Singh M
11 K. Hansen F
18 W. Kurtović M
6 S. Mørk M
14 A. Tveter F
Bench (9)
8 Zé Eduardo
20 F. Nyenetue
15 E. Brenden
22 M. Njie
9 S. Gussiås
4 Enric Vallès
99 J. Granlund
3 Marc Vales
40 V. Walle Egeli

Coach: H. Ødegaard

Lillestrom

3-4-3
12 M. Christiansen G
24 T. Pettersson D
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes M
26 L. Ranger M
30 I. Ogbu D
23 G. Åsen F
6 K. Kairinen M
8 I. Mathew M
10 T. Olsen F
11 T. Svendsen F
Bench (9)
90 D. Gustafsson
25 E. Edh
21 M. Knudsen
22 P. Slørdahl
7 P. Helland
14 F. Krogstad
17 J. Braut-Brunes
40 J. Sveinhaug
18 U. Mathisen

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.