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Eliteserien
Referee: S Sinnes
Lillestrom
S T U T T
3–0
Full-time
Sandefjord
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Sandefjord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 47%
61%
33%
Points per game
2,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
50%
89%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,9
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
0,9
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
21 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
16 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 3. · Sandefjord 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 18 13 3 2 +21 42
2 Bodo/Glimt 19 11 5 3 +28 38
3 Lillestrom 18 11 4 3 +16 37
4 Rosenborg 18 9 7 2 +14 34
5 Viking 18 8 5 5 +7 29
6 Valerenga 18 8 3 7 +3 27
7 Stromsgodset 17 7 4 6 -2 25
8 Odd 19 7 2 10 -13 23
9 Haugesund 18 6 4 8 -1 22
10 Tromso 17 4 9 4 -6 21
11 Sandefjord 18 6 3 9 -8 21
12 Aalesund 18 5 6 7 -8 21
13 Ham-Kam 19 3 11 5 -1 20
14 Sarpsborg 08 19 6 1 12 -4 19
15 Jerv 18 4 2 12 -24 14
16 Kristiansund 18 1 3 14 -22 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Sandefjord
Ifeanyi Mathew 🟨
17′
1–0 G. Åsen
25′
L. Ranger 🔁
↦ E. Edh
39′
Half-time 1–0
K. Kairinen 🔁
↦ H. Friðjónsson
46′
2–0 K. Kairinen
V. Dragsnes
51′
54′
🟨 Amer Ordagić
68′
🔁 S. Gussiås
↦ F. Nyenetue
3–0 V. Dragsnes
G. Åsen
68′
76′
🟨 Albin Winbo
77′
🔁 Féderico Bikoro
↦ A. Ordagić
H. Skogvold 🔁
↦ G. Åsen
80′
88′
🔁 S. Mathisen
↦ M. Ofkir
C. Rösler 🔁
↦ E. Garnås
89′
89′
🔁 F. Pålerud
↦ M. Haakenstad
89′
🔁 F. Loftesnes-Bjune
↦ A. Winbo
M. Lundemo 🔁
↦ I. Mathew
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

3-4-2-1
12 M. Hedenstad Christiansen G
24 T. Pettersson D
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes M
30 I. Ogbu D
23 G. Åsen M
8 I. Mathew M
14 M. Knudsen F
25 E. Edh M
21 H. Friðjónsson F
20 Y. Ibrahimaj F
Bench (8)
2 L. Ranger
6 K. Kairinen
33 H. Skogvold
3 C. Rösler
16 M. Lundemo
22 P. Slørdahl
7 P. Helland
1 K. Skjærstein

Coach: G. Bakke

Sandefjord

4-3-3
12 H. Keto G
2 M. Haakenstad D
21 F. Flo D
4 I. Smeulers D
13 L. Markmanrud D
19 A. Ordagić M
7 M. Ofkir F
27 A. Winbo M
25 V. Egeli M
14 A. Tveter F
20 F. Nyenetue F
Bench (8)
9 S. Gussiås
22 Féderico Bikoro
31 S. Mathisen
18 F. Pålerud
26 F. Loftesnes-Bjune
41 B. Andersen
3 Q. Jansen
1 J. Storevik

Coach: H. Ødegaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Sinnes · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.