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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
Feyenoord
S T S S T
1–2
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
1,5
3,7
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+3,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 89%
77%
100%
Points per game
2,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 85%
77%
92%
Both score Ø 47%
62%
31%
Average goals
3,9
4,1
Scored
3,1
3,7
Conceded
0,8
0,4
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+3,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,19 xG 1,58
60% Possession 40%
14 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 2. · PSV Eindhoven 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 13 0 0 +43 +30.1 39
2 Feyenoord 13 10 2 1 +29 +27.6 32
3 AZ Alkmaar 12 9 2 1 +23 +12.5 29
4 Twente 13 8 3 2 +11 +7.8 27
5 Go Ahead Eagles 12 6 3 3 +7 -6.8 21
6 Sparta Rotterdam 14 6 3 5 +1 -1.5 21
7 Heerenveen 14 6 1 7 -3 +0.8 19
8 Zwolle 14 5 2 7 -3 -3.6 17
9 Excelsior 14 3 7 4 -3 -5.0 16
10 For Sittard 14 4 4 6 -9 -2.5 16
11 Ajax 12 4 3 5 +2 -0.4 15
12 Heracles 14 4 3 7 -13 -8.2 15
13 Waalwijk 13 4 1 8 -11 -3.9 13
14 Almere City 14 3 4 7 -18 -8.2 13
15 Utrecht 13 3 3 7 -11 -11.3 12
16 Nijmegen 11 2 5 4 -2 -8.1 11
17 Volendam 14 2 2 10 -21 -8.4 8
18 Vitesse 14 2 2 10 -22 -10.8 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord PSV Eindhoven
11′
🔁 P. van Aanholt
↦ J. Teze
Half-time 0–0
M. López 🔁
↦ Q. Hartman
46′
Y. Minteh 🔁
↦ L. Ivanušec
54′
63′
🟨 Olivier Boscagli
64′
🔁 M. Tillman
↦ Y. Vertessen
65′
I. Saibari 0–1
J. Bakayoko
68′
O. Boscagli 0–2
J. Veerman
A. Ueda 🔁
↦ G. Trauner
71′
Igor Paixão 🔁
↦ R. Zerrouki
71′
72′
🔁 André Ramalho
↦ J. Veerman
A. Milambo 🔁
↦ C. Stengs
77′
1–2 S. Giménez
A. Milambo
81′
92′
🟨 Isaac Babadi
92′
🔁 I. Babadi
↦ G. Til
Santiago Giménez 🟨
93′
96′
🟨 Walter Benítez
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
1 J. Bijlow G
4 L. Geertruida D
18 G. Trauner D
33 D. Hancko D
5 Q. Hartman D
20 M. Wieffer M
8 Q. Timber M
6 R. Zerrouki M
10 C. Stengs F
29 S. Giménez F
17 L. Ivanušec F
Bench (12)
15 M. López
19 Y. Minteh
9 A. Ueda
14 Igor Paixão
27 A. Milambo
16 T. van den Belt
31 K. Lamprou
3 T. Beelen
11 J. Dilrosun
32 O. Lingr
22 T. Wellenreuther
25 L. Sauer

Coach: A. Slot

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 W. Benítez G
3 J. Teze D
22 J. Schouten D
18 O. Boscagli D
8 S. Dest D
23 J. Veerman M
20 G. Til M
34 I. Saibari M
11 J. Bakayoko F
9 L. de Jong F
32 Y. Vertessen F
Bench (9)
30 P. van Aanholt
10 M. Tillman
5 André Ramalho
26 I. Babadi
4 A. Obispo
17 Mauro Júnior
14 R. Pepi
24 B. Waterman
16 J. Drommel

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
U
3,77
B ✓
2,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.