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Serie B

Referee: N Baroni

Lecco

U U S T U

1–0

Full-time

Bari

U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecco Bari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 21%

21%

Points per game

0,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

50%

36%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

64%

Average goals

2,4

2,2

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 4

0 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 13

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lecco 17. · Bari 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	15	10	3	2	+16	33
2	Venezia	15	10	3	2	+13	33
3	Catanzaro	15	8	3	4	+5	27
4	Cremonese	15	7	5	3	+9	26
5	Modena	15	7	5	3	+2	26
6	Como	14	7	4	3	+3	25
7	Cittadella	15	7	4	4	+0	25
8	Palermo	15	7	3	5	+7	24
9	Cosenza	15	5	4	6	+1	19
10	Sampdoria	14	5	3	6	-1	18
11	Bari	14	3	9	2	-1	18
12	Pisa	15	4	6	5	-1	18
13	Sudtirol	14	4	5	5	+1	17
14	Reggiana	15	3	7	5	-4	16
15	Brescia	14	3	6	5	-3	15
16	Ascoli	15	3	4	8	-6	13
17	Lecco	14	3	4	7	-8	13
18	Ternana	15	2	5	8	-4	11
19	Spezia	15	1	7	7	-10	10
20	FeralpiSalo	15	1	4	10	-19	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	8	6	1	1	+7	19
2	Parma	8	5	3	0	+8	18
3	Como	7	4	2	1	+2	14
4	Cittadella	8	4	2	2	+0	14
5	Catanzaro	7	4	1	2	+3	13
6	Modena	8	4	1	3	-1	13
7	Cosenza	8	3	2	3	+4	11
8	Palermo	8	3	1	4	+1	10
9	Sudtirol	7	2	3	2	+2	9
10	Cremonese	8	2	3	3	+1	9
11	Sampdoria	7	3	0	4	-1	9
12	Reggiana	7	1	5	1	-1	8
13	Bari	7	1	5	1	-2	8
14	Ascoli	6	2	1	3	+1	7
15	Pisa	8	1	4	3	-2	7
16	Ternana	8	1	3	4	-1	6
17	Brescia	7	1	3	3	-4	6
18	Spezia	7	0	4	3	-3	4
19	Lecco	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	FeralpiSalo	7	0	2	5	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	7	5	2	0	+8	17
2	Parma	7	5	0	2	+8	15
3	Palermo	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Venezia	7	4	2	1	+6	14
5	Catanzaro	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Modena	7	3	4	0	+3	13
7	Como	7	3	2	2	+1	11
8	Pisa	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Cittadella	7	3	2	2	+0	11
10	Bari	7	2	4	1	+1	10
11	Brescia	7	2	3	2	+1	9
12	Sampdoria	7	2	3	2	+0	9
13	Lecco	8	2	3	3	-3	9
14	Sudtirol	7	2	2	3	-1	8
15	Reggiana	8	2	2	4	-3	8
16	Cosenza	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Ascoli	9	1	3	5	-7	6
18	Spezia	8	1	3	4	-7	6
19	Ternana	7	1	2	4	-3	5
20	FeralpiSalo	8	1	2	5	-11	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.