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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Hibernian
U U U S S
2–0
Full-time
Aberdeen
S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 14/12 matches
Win Ø 27%
29%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
64%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
42%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 23
3 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 6
4 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 5. · Aberdeen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 15 12 3 0 +29 39
2 Rangers 13 9 1 3 +20 28
3 Hearts 14 7 2 5 +2 23
4 St Mirren 14 6 4 4 +0 22
5 Hibernian 14 4 6 4 -1 18
6 Dundee 14 4 6 4 -2 18
7 Kilmarnock 15 4 5 6 -1 17
8 Motherwell 15 3 5 7 -6 14
9 Ross County 14 3 5 6 -9 14
10 Aberdeen 12 3 4 5 -6 13
11 ST Johnstone 14 2 5 7 -13 11
12 Livingston 14 2 4 8 -13 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian Aberdeen
1–0 D. Vente
M. Boyle
18′
William Fish 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
Martin Boyle 🟨
56′
Joe Newell 🟨
57′
66′
🟨 Richard Jensen
67′
🔁 Duk
↦ E. Sokler
2–0 W. Fish
M. Boyle
70′
É. Youan 🔁
↦ D. Vente
72′
72′
🔁 J. Hayes
↦ J. McGarry
72′
🔁 J. Milne
↦ N. Devlin
J. Jeggo 🔁
↦ D. Levitt
79′
C. Doidge 🔁
↦ J. Campbell
79′
79′
🔁 C. Barron
↦ G. Shinnie
R. Molotnikov 🔁
↦ Jair Tavares
83′
93′
🟨 Slobodan Rubežić
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-4-2
1 D. Marshall G
49 R. Whittaker D
5 W. Fish D
33 R. Bushiri D
16 L. Stevenson D
32 J. Campbell M
6 D. Levitt M
11 J. Newell M
29 Jair Tavares M
10 M. Boyle F
9 D. Vente F
Bench (9)
7 É. Youan
14 J. Jeggo
23 C. Doidge
35 R. Molotnikov
53 J. Landers
4 P. Hanlon
28 A. Delferrière
13 J. Wollacott
26 R. Harbottle

Coach: N. Montgomery

Aberdeen

5-3-2
24 K. Roos G
2 N. Devlin D
6 S. Gartenmann D
33 S. Rubežić D
5 R. Jensen D
15 J. McGarry D
7 J. McGrath M
10 L. Clarkson M
4 G. Shinnie M
19 E. Sokler F
9 B. Miovski F
Bench (9)
11 Duk
17 J. Hayes
28 J. Milne
8 C. Barron
14 P. Guèye
21 D. Polvara
31 R. Doohan
23 R. Duncan
27 A. MacDonald

Coach: B. Robson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,05
U
3,49
B
3,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,88
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.