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Premier League
Referee: S Attwell
Liverpool
U T S U S
4–3
Full-time
Fulham
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Fulham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 47%
62%
31%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
69%
46%
Both score Ø 58%
69%
46%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

2,23 xG 1,21
61% Possession 39%
26 Shots 9
12 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
3 Corners 4
5 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Liverpool 3. · Fulham 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Arsenal 14 10 3 1 +18 +14.7 33
2 Man City 13 9 2 2 +20 +14.5 29
3 Liverpool 13 8 4 1 +17 +11.5 28
4 Aston Villa 13 9 1 3 +13 +7.5 28
5 Newcastle 14 8 2 4 +18 +14.0 26
6 Tottenham 13 8 2 3 +8 +0.9 26
7 Man United 14 8 0 6 -1 -3.7 24
8 Brighton 13 6 4 3 +5 +3.1 22
9 West Ham 13 6 2 5 +0 -5.1 20
10 Brentford 14 5 4 5 +3 +9.1 19
11 Everton 14 5 2 7 -5 +2.3 17
12 Chelsea 13 4 4 5 +2 +8.6 16
13 Crystal Palace 13 4 3 6 -5 -2.0 15
14 Wolves 14 4 3 7 -6 -6.5 15
15 Fulham 13 4 3 6 -9 -8.5 15
16 Nott'm Forest 14 3 4 7 -6 -5.0 13
17 Bournemouth 13 3 3 7 -14 -8.2 12
18 Luton 14 2 3 9 -13 -16.0 9
19 Burnley 14 2 1 11 -17 -11.0 7
20 Sheffield United 14 1 2 11 -28 -20.4 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Liverpool Fulham
0–1 B. Leno
own goal
20′
24′
H. Wilson 0–2
A. Robinson
1–2 A. Mac Allister
38′
Half-time 1–3
48′
K. Tete 1–3
50′
ℹ️ Kenny Tete
VAR: Goal confirmed
62′
🔁 Willian
↦ Andreas Pereira
62′
🔁 T. Cairney
↦ H. Wilson
C. Gakpo 🔁
↦ D. Szoboszlai
64′
J. Gomez 🔁
↦ A. Mac Allister
65′
I. Konaté 🔁
↦ J. Matip
69′
75′
🔁 T. Castagne
↦ K. Tete
75′
🔁 B. De Cordova-Reid
↦ A. Iwobi
80′
B. De Cordova-Reid 1–4
T. Cairney
W. Endo 🔁
↦ R. Gravenberch
83′
2–4 W. Endo
Mohamed Salah
87′
3–4 T. Alexander-Arnold
K. Tsimikas
88′
90′
🔁 Carlos Vinícius
↦ H. Reed
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Liverpool

4-3-3
62 C. Kelleher G
66 T. Alexander-Arnold D
32 J. Matip D
4 V. van Dijk D
21 K. Tsimikas D
8 D. Szoboszlai M
10 A. Mac Allister M
38 R. Gravenberch M
11 Mohamed Salah F
9 D. Núñez F
7 L. Díaz F
Bench (9)
18 C. Gakpo
2 J. Gomez
5 I. Konaté
3 W. Endo
19 H. Elliott
13 Adrián
78 J. Quansah
50 B. Doak
17 C. Jones

Coach: J. Klopp

Fulham

4-2-3-1
17 B. Leno G
2 K. Tete D
3 C. Bassey D
13 T. Ream D
33 A. Robinson D
6 H. Reed M
26 João Palhinha M
8 H. Wilson M
18 Andreas Pereira M
22 A. Iwobi M
7 R. Jiménez F
Bench (9)
20 Willian
10 T. Cairney
21 T. Castagne
14 B. De Cordova-Reid
30 Carlos Vinícius
28 S. Lukić
1 M. Rodák
4 T. Adarabioyo
12 F. Ballo-Touré

Coach: Marco Silva

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,26
U
6,62
B
10,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,41
U2,5
2,93
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Attwell · 153 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.