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La Liga
Referee: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez
Mallorca
U S T T U
0–0
Full-time
Alaves
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,8
Scored
0,8
2,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 18%
7%
29%
Points per game
0,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
29%
29%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,80 xG 0,32
63% Possession 37%
7 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mallorca 17. · Alaves 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 15 12 2 1 +24 +13.2 38
2 Girona 15 12 2 1 +16 +9.0 38
3 Ath Madrid 13 10 1 2 +18 +13.2 31
4 Barcelona 14 9 4 1 +13 +14.2 31
5 Ath Bilbao 15 8 4 3 +12 +9.5 28
6 Sociedad 15 7 5 3 +8 +2.8 26
7 Betis 14 6 6 2 +2 +1.4 24
8 Las Palmas 15 6 3 6 +0 -3.7 21
9 Valencia 15 5 4 6 -3 +0.8 19
10 Getafe 15 4 7 4 -3 -4.9 19
11 Vallecano 15 4 7 4 -6 -5.8 19
12 Villarreal 14 4 3 7 -4 -5.3 15
13 Alaves 14 4 3 7 -5 +1.1 15
14 Osasuna 15 4 3 8 -8 -6.8 15
15 Sevilla 13 2 6 5 +0 -5.3 12
16 Cadiz 14 2 5 7 -10 -8.4 11
17 Mallorca 14 1 7 6 -7 -4.2 10
18 Celta 14 1 5 8 -10 -3.1 8
19 Granada 15 1 4 10 -16 -12.3 7
20 Almeria 14 0 3 11 -21 -5.4 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mallorca Alaves
Antonio Sánchez 🟨
24′
27′
🟨 Ander Guevara
Amath Ndiaye 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
Samuel Costa 🟨
46′
Cyle Larin 🔁
↦ Antonio Sánchez
46′
Toni Lato 🔁
↦ Jaume Costa
67′
Manu Morlanes 🔁
↦ Samuel Costa
67′
67′
🔁 Álex Sola
↦ Abderrahman Rebbach
72′
🟨 Abdelkabir Abqar
75′
🔁 Rubén Duarte
↦ Luis Rioja
75′
🔁 Ianis Hagi
↦ Jon Guridi
Pablo Maffeo 🔁
↦ Giovanni González
76′
83′
🔁 Kike García
↦ Samuel Omorodion
83′
🔁 Carlos Benavídez
↦ Ander Guevara
Javi Llabrés 🔁
↦ Amath Ndiaye
86′
Manu Morlanes 🟨
97′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Mallorca

4-2-3-1
1 Predrag Rajković G
20 Giovanni González D
24 Martin Valjent D
21 Antonio Raíllo D
11 Jaume Costa D
5 Omar Mascarell M
12 Samuel Costa M
18 Antonio Sánchez M
10 Sergi Darder M
23 Amath Ndiaye M
9 Abdón Prats F
Bench (12)
17 Cyle Larin
3 Toni Lato
8 Manu Morlanes
15 Pablo Maffeo
19 Javi Llabrés
25 Iván Cuéllar
13 Dominik Greif
6 José Copete
4 Siebe Van Der Heyden
2 Matija Nastasić
33 Daniel Luna
34 Pau Mascaró

Coach: J. Aguirre

Alaves

4-2-3-1
1 Antonio Sivera G
2 Andoni Gorosabel D
5 Abdelkabir Abqar D
16 Rafa Marín D
27 Javi López D
8 Antonio Blanco M
6 Ander Guevara M
11 Luis Rioja M
18 Jon Guridi M
21 Abderrahman Rebbach M
32 Samuel Omorodion F
Bench (11)
7 Álex Sola
3 Rubén Duarte
10 Ianis Hagi
23 Carlos Benavídez
15 Kike García
33 Adrián Rodríguez
31 Jesús Owono
14 Nahuel Tenaglia
19 Nikola Maraš
17 Xeber Alkain
9 Jon Karrikaburu

Coach: Luis García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,46
U ✓
3,01
B
3,32
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,77
U2,5 ✓
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jorge Figueroa Vazquez · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.