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Eliteserien
Referee: K Hagenes
Aalesund
T U S S T
0–3
Full-time
Sandefjord
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Sandefjord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 19%
19%
19%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
65%
58%
Both score Ø 56%
54%
58%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,48 xG 1,90
54% Possession 46%
18 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 16. · Sandefjord 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 27 20 4 3 +39 +17.7 64
2 Brann 27 17 4 6 +19 +4.1 55
3 Tromso 27 17 3 7 +13 +10.4 54
4 Viking 27 16 4 7 +12 +4.4 52
5 Molde 27 13 5 9 +20 +11.8 44
6 Lillestrom 27 13 3 11 +5 +7.4 42
7 Sarpsborg 08 27 12 5 10 +8 +5.3 41
8 Stromsgodset 27 11 3 13 -2 -5.3 36
9 Rosenborg 27 10 6 11 -5 -4.2 36
10 Odd 27 9 7 11 -4 -5.6 34
11 Haugesund 27 8 6 13 -6 -3.2 30
12 Ham-Kam 27 9 3 15 -19 -14.2 30
13 Stabaek 27 6 7 14 -16 -6.7 25
14 Valerenga 27 6 6 15 -13 -4.3 24
15 Sandefjord 26 5 7 14 -12 -14.5 22
16 Aalesund 26 5 3 18 -39 -3.0 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Sandefjord
16′
🟨 Jeppe Kjaer
Erlend Segberg 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Vetle Walle Egeli
49′
J. Dunsby 0–1
A. Damnjanovic Nilsson
E. Moses 🔁
↦ H. Melland
59′
Moses Ebiye 🟨
68′
72′
Danilo Al Saed 0–2
V. Egeli
M. Ramsland 🔁
↦ M. Diop
75′
S. Haram 🔁
↦ D. Fällman
75′
81′
A. Tveter 0–3
82′
🔁 S. Mørk
↦ J. Kjær
83′
🔁 F. Pålerud
↦ F. Berglie
T. Murray 🔁
↦ N. Hopland
90′
K. Ødemarksbakken 🔁
↦ B. Kristensen
90′
90′
🔁 K. Ayer
↦ A. Damnjanovic Nilsson
90′
🔁 Y. Chaib
↦ Danilo Al Saed
90′
🔁 F. Nyenetue
↦ A. Tveter
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Aalesund

4-5-1
1 S. Grytebust G
23 E. Frøysa D
5 D. Fällman D
4 N. Hopland D
25 J. Kitolano D
29 B. Kristensen M
6 E. Segberg M
8 H. Hammer M
37 H. Melland M
22 M. Karlsbakk M
27 M. Diop F
Bench (9)
11 E. Moses
18 M. Ramsland
33 S. Haram
2 T. Murray
15 K. Ødemarksbakken
13 M. Lansing
19 I. Atanga
39 S. Kilen
40 E. Kolve

Coach: C. Johnsen

Sandefjord

4-3-3
1 H. Keto G
4 F. Pedersen D
19 F. Berglie D
17 S. Foss D
3 V. Egeli D
8 A. Damnjanovic Nilsson M
18 F. Ottosson M
10 J. Kjær M
27 J. Dunsby F
9 A. Tveter F
14 Danilo Al Saed F
Bench (7)
6 S. Mørk
2 F. Pålerud
23 K. Ayer
11 Y. Chaib
20 F. Nyenetue
26 F. Loftesnes-Bjune
12 M. Viken

Coach: H. Ødegaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Hagenes · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.