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2. Bundesliga

Referee: S Jablonski

Hertha

S S U U U

5–1

Full-time

Elversberg

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Elversberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 43%

36%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

79%

64%

Both score Ø 61%

57%

64%

Average goals

3,6

3,1

Scored

1,9

1,6

Conceded

1,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

53% Possession 47%

14 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hertha 11. · Elversberg 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	15	8	7	0	+16	31
2	Holstein Kiel	15	9	2	4	+6	29
3	Hamburg	15	8	4	3	+10	28
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	8	3	4	+16	27
5	Greuther Furth	15	8	3	4	+7	27
6	Elversberg	14	7	3	4	+3	24
7	Hannover	14	6	5	3	+11	23
8	Wehen	15	6	3	6	-1	21
9	Nurnberg	15	6	3	6	-8	21
10	Magdeburg	15	5	4	6	+3	19
11	Hertha	14	5	3	6	+2	18
12	Paderborn	14	5	3	6	-5	18
13	Kaiserslautern	15	5	3	7	-6	18
14	Karlsruhe	14	4	4	6	-1	16
15	Schalke 04	15	5	1	9	-6	16
16	Hansa Rostock	14	5	1	8	-6	16
17	Braunschweig	15	2	2	11	-18	8
18	Osnabruck	15	1	4	10	-23	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Greuther Furth	8	6	1	1	+12	19
3	St Pauli	8	4	4	0	+11	16
4	Hannover	7	4	2	1	+11	14
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	4	2	2	+3	14
6	Kaiserslautern	8	4	1	3	+1	13
7	Holstein Kiel	8	4	1	3	+0	13
8	Schalke 04	7	4	0	3	+5	12
9	Wehen	7	3	3	1	+1	12
10	Magdeburg	7	3	2	2	+4	11
11	Karlsruhe	7	3	2	2	+3	11
12	Nurnberg	7	3	2	2	-2	11
13	Hertha	6	3	1	2	+8	10
14	Elversberg	7	3	1	3	-1	10
15	Hansa Rostock	8	3	1	4	-2	10
16	Paderborn	6	2	2	2	+0	8
17	Braunschweig	8	2	2	4	-5	8
18	Osnabruck	8	1	2	5	-6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	7	5	1	1	+6	16
2	St Pauli	7	4	3	0	+5	15
3	Elversberg	7	4	2	1	+4	14
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	4	1	2	+13	13
5	Paderborn	8	3	1	4	-5	10
6	Nurnberg	8	3	1	4	-6	10
7	Hannover	7	2	3	2	+0	9
8	Wehen	8	3	0	5	-2	9
9	Magdeburg	8	2	2	4	-1	8
10	Greuther Furth	7	2	2	3	-5	8
11	Hertha	8	2	2	4	-6	8
12	Hamburg	8	1	4	3	-3	7
13	Hansa Rostock	6	2	0	4	-4	6
14	Karlsruhe	7	1	2	4	-4	5
15	Kaiserslautern	7	1	2	4	-7	5
16	Schalke 04	8	1	1	6	-11	4
17	Osnabruck	7	0	2	5	-17	2
18	Braunschweig	7	0	0	7	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.