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La Liga

Referee: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos

Sevilla

U T U T T

1–1

Full-time

Villarreal

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

2,8

4,0

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 13/14 matches

Win Ø 22%

15%

29%

Points per game

0,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

54%

71%

Both score Ø 82%

77%

86%

Average goals

2,9

3,3

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,81 xG 1,23

57% Possession 43%

18 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 15. · Villarreal 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	12	2	1	+24	+13.2	38
2	Girona	15	12	2	1	+16	+9.0	38
3	Ath Madrid	13	10	1	2	+18	+13.2	31
4	Barcelona	14	9	4	1	+13	+14.2	31
5	Ath Bilbao	15	8	4	3	+12	+9.5	28
6	Sociedad	15	7	5	3	+8	+2.8	26
7	Betis	15	6	7	2	+2	-0.5	25
8	Las Palmas	15	6	3	6	+0	-3.7	21
9	Valencia	15	5	4	6	-3	+0.8	19
10	Getafe	15	4	7	4	-3	-4.9	19
11	Vallecano	15	4	7	4	-6	-5.8	19
12	Alaves	15	4	4	7	-5	+0.7	16
13	Villarreal	14	4	3	7	-4	-5.3	15
14	Osasuna	15	4	3	8	-8	-6.8	15
15	Sevilla	13	2	6	5	+0	-5.3	12
16	Mallorca	15	1	8	6	-7	-3.7	11
17	Cadiz	14	2	5	7	-10	-8.4	11
18	Celta	14	1	5	8	-10	-3.1	8
19	Granada	15	1	4	10	-16	-12.3	7
20	Almeria	15	0	4	11	-21	-3.5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	7	7	0	0	+10	+9.3	21
2	Real Madrid	7	6	1	0	+14	+10.7	19
3	Girona	8	6	1	1	+8	+3.1	19
4	Barcelona	7	6	0	1	+10	+6.6	18
5	Ath Bilbao	8	5	2	1	+11	+8.7	17
6	Betis	7	5	2	0	+8	+5.9	17
7	Sociedad	8	5	2	1	+7	+0.3	17
8	Getafe	7	4	3	0	+4	+1.0	15
9	Las Palmas	7	4	2	1	+4	-0.2	14
10	Valencia	7	4	1	2	+5	+4.5	13
11	Alaves	7	4	1	2	+1	+3.5	13
12	Sevilla	7	2	3	2	+3	-1.1	9
13	Cadiz	7	2	3	2	-1	+2.4	9
14	Villarreal	8	2	1	5	-2	-1.0	7
15	Vallecano	7	1	4	2	-6	-4.7	7
16	Mallorca	7	0	6	1	-1	-1.0	6
17	Granada	7	1	3	3	-4	-4.7	6
18	Osasuna	8	1	3	4	-5	-1.2	6
19	Celta	7	0	3	4	-7	+0.6	3
20	Almeria	8	0	3	5	-8	+1.5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	8	6	1	1	+10	+2.5	19
2	Girona	7	6	1	0	+8	+5.9	19
3	Barcelona	7	3	4	0	+3	+7.6	13
4	Vallecano	8	3	3	2	+0	-1.1	12
5	Ath Bilbao	7	3	2	2	+1	+0.7	11
6	Ath Madrid	6	3	1	2	+8	+3.9	10
7	Sociedad	7	2	3	2	+1	+2.4	9
8	Osasuna	7	3	0	4	-3	-5.5	9
9	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	-2	-4.3	8
10	Betis	8	1	5	2	-6	-6.3	8
11	Las Palmas	8	2	1	5	-4	-3.4	7
12	Valencia	8	1	3	4	-8	-3.7	6
13	Celta	7	1	2	4	-3	-3.7	5
14	Mallorca	8	1	2	5	-6	-2.8	5
15	Getafe	8	0	4	4	-7	-5.9	4
16	Sevilla	6	0	3	3	-3	-4.2	3
17	Alaves	8	0	3	5	-6	-2.8	3
18	Cadiz	7	0	2	5	-9	-10.8	2
19	Granada	8	0	1	7	-12	-7.6	1
20	Almeria	7	0	1	6	-13	-5.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.