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Eliteserien
Referee: K Hagenes
Lillestrom
S U T S U
2–0
Full-time
Sandefjord
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Sandefjord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 40%
45%
34%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
62%
62%
Both score Ø 61%
66%
55%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 5. · Sandefjord 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 29 17 9 3 +31 60
2 Molde 29 17 6 6 +29 57
3 Viking 29 16 6 7 +11 54
4 Rosenborg 29 13 8 8 +16 47
5 Lillestrom 29 13 7 9 +7 46
6 Valerenga 29 11 12 6 +10 45
7 Kristiansund 29 13 4 12 -6 43
8 Sarpsborg 08 29 11 6 12 -4 39
9 Sandefjord 29 10 6 13 -12 36
10 Haugesund 29 9 8 12 +2 35
11 Stromsgodset 29 9 8 12 +0 35
12 Tromso 29 8 11 10 -9 35
13 Odd 29 7 9 13 -16 30
14 Stabaek 29 6 7 16 -25 25
15 Brann 29 4 11 14 -18 23
16 Mjondalen 29 4 10 15 -16 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Sandefjord
1–0 V. Dragsnes
G. Åsen
29′
Lars Ranger 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
U. Mathisen 🔁
↦ T. Svendsen
71′
75′
🔁 D. Vega
↦ S. Mørk
75′
🔁 Marc Vales
↦ L. Markmanrud
F. Krogstad 🔁
↦ K. Kairinen
77′
2–0 U. Mathisen
G. Åsen
81′
84′
🔁 P. Johansen
↦ H. Singh
88′
🔁 F. Loftesnes-Bjune
↦ V. Jónsson
88′
🔁 F. Nyenetue
↦ K. Hansen
S. Mikalsen 🔁
↦ L. Ranger
90′
J. Baccay 🔁
↦ V. Dragsnes
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

3-4-3
12 M. Christiansen G
24 T. Pettersson D
5 V. Dragsnes M
26 L. Ranger M
22 P. Slørdahl D
23 G. Åsen F
6 K. Kairinen M
8 I. Mathew M
21 M. Knudsen D
10 T. Olsen F
11 T. Svendsen F
Bench (8)
18 U. Mathisen
14 F. Krogstad
3 S. Mikalsen
15 J. Baccay
33 H. Skogvold
17 J. Braut-Brunes
31 M. Bergum
1 K. Skjærstein

Coach: G. Bakke

Sandefjord

4-3-3
1 J. Storevik G
23 V. Jónsson F
5 M. Kreuzriegler D
17 S. Foss D
4 I. Smeulers D
13 L. Markmanrud D
24 H. Singh M
11 K. Hansen F
15 E. Brenden M
6 S. Mørk M
14 A. Tveter F
Bench (9)
10 D. Vega
3 Marc Vales
21 P. Johansen
60 F. Loftesnes-Bjune
20 F. Nyenetue
99 J. Granlund
16 A. Sødlund
19 A. Ordagić
9 S. Gussiås

Coach: H. Ødegaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Hagenes · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.