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Serie B
Referee: D Di Marco
Sudtirol
S T T T U
0–1
Full-time
Como
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Como
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 40%
29%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
64%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
8 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 13. · Como 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 15 10 3 2 +16 33
2 Venezia 15 10 3 2 +13 33
3 Catanzaro 15 8 3 4 +5 27
4 Cremonese 15 7 5 3 +9 26
5 Modena 15 7 5 3 +2 26
6 Como 14 7 4 3 +3 25
7 Cittadella 15 7 4 4 +0 25
8 Palermo 15 7 3 5 +7 24
9 Cosenza 15 5 4 6 +1 19
10 Sampdoria 14 5 3 6 -1 18
11 Bari 14 3 9 2 -1 18
12 Pisa 15 4 6 5 -1 18
13 Sudtirol 14 4 5 5 +1 17
14 Reggiana 15 3 7 5 -4 16
15 Brescia 14 3 6 5 -3 15
16 Ascoli 15 3 4 8 -6 13
17 Lecco 14 3 4 7 -8 13
18 Ternana 15 2 5 8 -4 11
19 Spezia 15 1 7 7 -10 10
20 FeralpiSalo 15 1 4 10 -19 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Como
29′
🟨 Marco Curto
35′
🟨 Simone Verdi
Half-time 0–0
J. Broh 🔁
↦ D. Peeters
46′
S. Merkaj 🔁
↦ N. Rauti
66′
73′
🟨 Ben Lhassine Kone
73′
O. Abildgaard 0–1
A. Cagnano 🔁
↦ S. Davì
78′
R. Ciervo 🔁
↦ G. Lunetta
78′
79′
🔁 A. Bellemo
↦ B. Kone
79′
🔁 A. Gabrielloni
↦ S. Verdi
80′
🔁 M. Sala
↦ N. Ioannou
A. Cisco 🔁
↦ A. Giorgini
87′
91′
🔁 L. Vignali
↦ L. da Cunha
91′
🔁 L. Kerrigan
↦ P. Cutrone
Andrea Masiello 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sudtirol

4-4-2
1 G. Poluzzi G
30 A. Giorgini D
14 G. Cuomo D
55 A. Masiello D
24 S. Davì D
8 G. Lunetta M
21 F. Tait M
42 D. Peeters M
17 D. Casiraghi M
23 N. Rauti F
9 E. Pecorino F
Bench (10)
15 J. Broh
33 S. Merkaj
3 A. Cagnano
11 R. Ciervo
26 A. Cisco
6 L. Ghiringhelli
77 L. Lonardi
22 S. Dregan
27 C. Shiba
12 G. Drago

Coach: P. Bisoli

Como

3-5-2
1 A. Šemper G
5 M. Curto D
26 C. Odenthal D
93 F. Barba D
84 T. Cassandro M
28 O. Abildgaard M
94 B. Kone M
33 L. da Cunha M
44 N. Ioannou M
90 S. Verdi F
10 P. Cutrone F
Bench (11)
14 A. Bellemo
9 A. Gabrielloni
3 M. Sala
80 L. Vignali
20 L. Kerrigan
27 A. Cerri
7 M. Chajia
22 M. Vigorito
4 M. Solini
11 Álex Blanco
32 F. Rispoli

Coach: Cesc Fàbregas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,10
U
3,05
B ✓
2,43
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,42
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Di Marco · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.