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Eliteserien
Referee: S Amland
Odd
S S T T S
2–1
Full-time
Valerenga
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Odd Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 15/13 matches
Win Ø 28%
33%
23%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
27%
62%
Both score Ø 41%
27%
54%
Average goals
1,9
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,71 xG 0,50
52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Odd 9. · Valerenga 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 15 12 2 1 +24 +1.9 38
2 Molde 16 9 2 5 +19 +6.7 29
3 Viking 14 9 2 3 +10 -0.1 29
4 Brann 15 8 3 4 +9 -3.3 27
5 Tromso 14 8 3 3 +5 +0.6 27
6 Lillestrom 14 8 2 4 +8 +4.5 26
7 Sarpsborg 08 15 6 3 6 +1 -0.3 21
8 Stromsgodset 14 6 2 6 +2 -0.8 20
9 Odd 15 5 4 6 -2 +0.5 19
10 Rosenborg 15 4 4 7 -5 -0.8 16
11 Stabaek 14 4 4 6 -6 +1.0 16
12 Haugesund 14 4 3 7 -8 -1.7 15
13 Ham-Kam 14 4 1 9 -16 +0.7 13
14 Valerenga 13 3 2 8 -8 -3.9 11
15 Sandefjord 13 2 4 7 -10 -3.6 10
16 Aalesund 15 2 1 12 -23 -1.4 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Odd Valerenga
0–1 S. Juklerød
own goal
33′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 T. Børven
↦ P. Strand
49′
L. Wahlstedt 1–1
own goal
60′
🟨 Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
66′
🔁 J. Eng
↦ M. Ofkir
M. Ingebrigtsen 🔁
↦ D. Gjengaar
74′
Josef Baccay ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
78′
79′
🟨 Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
79′
🟥 Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
2–1 E. Ruud
81′
82′
🔁 C. Borchgrevink
↦ A. Hammer Kjelsen
T. Rekdal 🔁
↦ S. Owusu
89′
F. Tewelde 🔁
↦ O. Midtskogen
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Odd

5-4-1
12 L. Wahlstedt G
2 E. Ruud D
15 S. Johansen D
21 S. Hagen D
5 D. Tomas D
3 J. Baccay D
24 D. Gjengaar M
6 L. Owusu M
17 S. Owusu M
7 F. Jørgensen M
11 O. Midtskogen F
Bench (9)
10 M. Ingebrigtsen
20 T. Rekdal
19 F. Tewelde
9 A. Stensrud
16 C. Glenna
4 L. Hien
13 S. Skjeldal
30 P. Nygaard Klausen
26 J. Skau

Coach: P. Johansen

Valerenga

3-4-3
21 M. Sjøeng G
5 L. Zuta D
3 A. Hammer Kjelsen D
7 F. Oldrup Jensen D
6 V. Hedenstad M
24 P. Strand M
8 H. Bjørdal M
18 S. Juklerød M
20 M. Riisnæs F
19 S. Jatta F
10 M. Ofkir F
Bench (9)
9 T. Børven
17 J. Eng
2 C. Borchgrevink
29 Vitinho
1 J. Storevik
14 A. Kiil Olsen
16 M. Emilsen
26 F. Thorvaldsen
25 J. El Abdellaoui

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Amland · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.